Production Technology Department, National Energy Baorixile Energy Co., Ltd., Hulun Buir 021000, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, China.
School of Mines, China University of Mining and Technology, Xuzhou 221116, Jiangsu, China.
Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 May 27;2022:8556103. doi: 10.1155/2022/8556103. eCollection 2022.
This study is aiming at the nonlinear mapping relationship between the groundwater level and its influencing factors. Through the design and calculation process of matlab7 platform, taking the monitoring wells distributed in an open-pit mining area as an example, the short-term prediction of groundwater dynamics in the study area is carried out by using BP neural network model and BP neural network model based on genetic algorithm. Root mean squared error (RMSE), Mean absolute percent-age error (MAPE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are used coefficients,, and the results were compared with BP neural network and stepwise regression model. From the results of the comparative analysis, the genetic algorithm optimized the BP neural network model in the training phase and the test phase, the RMSE was 0.25 and 0.36, the MAPE was 6.7 and 8.13%, and the NSE was 0.87 and 0.72, respectively. The BP neural network model optimized by genetic algorithm is obviously superior to the BP neural network model, which is an ideal prediction model for short-term groundwater level. This model can provide a prediction method for groundwater dynamic prediction and has a good application prospect.
本研究旨在探讨地下水位与其影响因素之间的非线性映射关系。通过 matlab7 平台的设计和计算过程,以露天矿区分布的监测井为例,利用 BP 神经网络模型和基于遗传算法的 BP 神经网络模型,对研究区地下水动态进行短期预测。采用均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)和纳什-苏特克里夫效率(NSE)作为系数,对 BP 神经网络和逐步回归模型的预测结果进行了比较。从对比分析的结果来看,遗传算法在训练阶段和测试阶段对 BP 神经网络模型进行了优化,RMSE 分别为 0.25 和 0.36,MAPE 分别为 6.7 和 8.13%,NSE 分别为 0.87 和 0.72。遗传算法优化的 BP 神经网络模型明显优于 BP 神经网络模型,是一种理想的短期地下水位预测模型。该模型可为地下水动态预测提供一种预测方法,具有良好的应用前景。