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俄罗斯电动汽车市场的发展是受益于全球交通电气化趋势的必要条件。

Development of the Electric Vehicles Market in Russia as a Necessary Condition for Benefiting from the Global Trend towards Transport Electrification.

作者信息

Semikashev V V, Kolpakov A Yu, Yakovlev A A, Rostovski J-K

机构信息

Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia.

Market Research Agency Ipsos, Moscow, Russia.

出版信息

Stud Russ Econ Dev. 2022;33(3):274-281. doi: 10.1134/S1075700722030133. Epub 2022 Jun 2.

DOI:10.1134/S1075700722030133
PMID:35669864
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9162108/
Abstract

Growing market of electric vehicles (EV) is one of the stable trends in the modern world economy. The development of EV market in Russia is a feasible direction of economic policy, as it is a way to interest international auto concerns in developing of their business in our country, which will reduce the costs of using the results of global scientific and technological progress and create an opportunity for domestic companies to integrate into the technological chain creating added value. The phased development of the electric car market should include three successive stages: 1) subsidizing pioneering use, when demand is provided by specialized support measures; 2) transition to mass use, when all elements of the market (demand, supply, and state support measures) are shifted towards the mass distribution of electric vehicles; 3) free market and reaping benefits from transport electrification. The most critical is the successful completion of the first stage, which requires the construction of a minimum sufficient charging infrastructure in large cities and key highways of the country as well as bringing annual sales to 40 000 new electric vehicles.

摘要

电动汽车(EV)市场的不断增长是现代世界经济中的稳定趋势之一。俄罗斯电动汽车市场的发展是经济政策的一个可行方向,因为这是吸引国际汽车企业在我国开展业务的一种方式,这将降低利用全球科技进步成果的成本,并为国内公司创造融入创造附加值的技术链的机会。电动汽车市场的分阶段发展应包括三个连续阶段:1)补贴开创性使用,即通过专门的支持措施来满足需求;2)过渡到大规模使用,即市场的所有要素(需求、供应和国家支持措施)都转向电动汽车的大规模普及;3)自由市场并从交通电气化中获益。最关键的是成功完成第一阶段,这需要在该国的大城市和主要高速公路上建设最低限度的充足充电基础设施,并使新电动汽车的年销售量达到4万辆。