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基于整合放射学和炎症生物标志物的列线图预测中度或重度创伤性脑损伤儿童的早期死亡率

Prediction of Early Mortality Among Children With Moderate or Severe Traumatic Brain Injury Based on a Nomogram Integrating Radiological and Inflammation-Based Biomarkers.

作者信息

Zhu Pingyi, Hussein Nimo Mohamed, Tang Jing, Lin Lulu, Wang Yu, Li Lan, Shu Kun, Zou Pinfa, Xia Yikai, Bai Guanghui, Yan Zhihan, Ye Xinjian

机构信息

Department of Radiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University, Wenzhou, China.

Wenzhou Key Laboratory of Basic Science and Translational Research of Radiation Oncology, Wenzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Neurol. 2022 May 20;13:865084. doi: 10.3389/fneur.2022.865084. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Inflammation-based scores have been increasingly used for prognosis prediction in neurological diseases. This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of inflammation-based scores combined with radiological characteristics in children with moderate or severe traumatic brain injury (MS-TBI). A total of 104 pediatric patients with MS-TBI were retrospectively enrolled and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of prognosis in pediatric patients with MS-TBI. A prognostic nomogram was constructed, and its predictive performance was validated in both the training and validation cohorts. Sex, admission platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, and basal cistern status from initial CT findings were identified as independent prognostic predictors for children with MS-TBI in multivariate logistic analysis. Based on these findings, a nomogram was then developed and its concordance index values were 0.918 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.837-0.999] in the training cohort and 0.86 (95% CI: 0.70-1.00) in the validation cohort, which significantly outperformed those of the Rotterdam, Marshall, and Helsinki CT scores. The proposed nomogram, based on routine complete blood count and initial CT scan findings, can contribute to individualized prognosis prediction and clinical decision-making in children with MS-TBI.

摘要

基于炎症的评分已越来越多地用于神经疾病的预后预测。本研究旨在探讨基于炎症的评分结合放射学特征对中重度创伤性脑损伤(MS-TBI)患儿的预测价值。共回顾性纳入104例MS-TBI患儿,并按7:3的比例随机分为训练组和验证组。进行单因素和多因素逻辑回归分析,以确定MS-TBI患儿预后的独立预测因素。构建了预后列线图,并在训练组和验证组中验证了其预测性能。在多因素逻辑分析中,性别、入院时血小板与淋巴细胞比值以及初始CT检查结果中的基底池状态被确定为MS-TBI患儿的独立预后预测因素。基于这些发现,随后开发了列线图,其在训练组中的一致性指数值为0.918 [95%置信区间(CI):0.837-0.999],在验证组中为0.86(95% CI:0.70-1.00),显著优于鹿特丹、马歇尔和赫尔辛基CT评分。所提出的列线图基于常规全血细胞计数和初始CT扫描结果,可有助于MS-TBI患儿的个体化预后预测和临床决策。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/446a/9163313/9bbd88d5ff2a/fneur-13-865084-g0001.jpg

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