Faculty of Medicine, Clinic for Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Clinical Centre of Serbia, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia.
Maternity and Child Health Service, NMC Royal Hospital DIP, Dubai Hospital, Dubai P.O. Box 7832, United Arab Emirates.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 May 27;19(11):6517. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19116517.
The aim of this study was to analyze the trends in diabetes in pregnancy in Belgrade, Serbia for the period of the past decade and forecast the number of women with pre-gestational diabetes for the years 2030 and 2050. The study included the data on all pregnant women with diabetes from the registry of the deliveries in Belgrade, by the City Institute of Public Health of Belgrade, Serbia for the period between 2010 and 2020 and the published data on the deliveries on the territory of Belgrade. During the examined period the total number of live births in Belgrade was 196,987, and the prevalence of diabetes in pregnancy was 3.4%, with the total prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes of 0.7% and overall prevalence of GDM of 2.7%. The average age of women in our study was significantly lower in 2010 compared to 2020. The forecasted prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes among all pregnant women for 2030 is 2% and 4% for 2050 in our cohort. Our study showed that the prevalence of pre-gestational diabetes has increased both among all pregnant women and among women with diabetes in pregnancy in the past decade in Belgrade, Serbia and that it is expected to increase further in the next decades and to further double by 2050.
本研究旨在分析过去十年间塞尔维亚贝尔格莱德妊娠糖尿病的趋势，并预测 2030 年和 2050 年患有孕前糖尿病的女性人数。该研究纳入了塞尔维亚贝尔格莱德市公共卫生研究所妊娠糖尿病登记册中 2010 年至 2020 年期间所有妊娠糖尿病女性的数据，以及发表的关于贝尔格莱德地区分娩的数据。在研究期间，贝尔格莱德的活产总数为 196987 例，妊娠糖尿病的患病率为 3.4%，其中孕前糖尿病的总患病率为 0.7%，GDM 的总患病率为 2.7%。与 2020 年相比，本研究中女性的平均年龄在 2010 年显著降低。在我们的研究队列中，预计 2030 年所有孕妇的孕前糖尿病患病率为 2%，2050 年为 4%。我们的研究表明，过去十年间，塞尔维亚贝尔格莱德所有孕妇和妊娠糖尿病女性的孕前糖尿病患病率均有所增加，预计未来几十年还会进一步增加，并在 2050 年前进一步翻一番。
