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一种新的泊松-刘回归估计器:方法与应用。

A new Poisson Liu Regression Estimator: method and application.

作者信息

Qasim Muhammad, Kibria B M G, Månsson Kristofer, Sjölander Pär

机构信息

Department of Economics, Finance and Statistics, Jönköping University, Jönköping, Sweden.

Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Florida International University, Miami, FL, USA.

出版信息

J Appl Stat. 2019 Dec 27;47(12):2258-2271. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2019.1707485. eCollection 2020.

Abstract

This paper considers the estimation of parameters for the Poisson regression model in the presence of high, but imperfect multicollinearity. To mitigate this problem, we suggest using the Poisson Liu Regression Estimator (PLRE) and propose some new approaches to estimate this shrinkage parameter. The small sample statistical properties of these estimators are systematically scrutinized using Monte Carlo simulations. To evaluate the performance of these estimators, we assess the Mean Square Errors (MSE) and the Mean Absolute Percentage Errors (MAPE). The simulation results clearly illustrate the benefit of the methods of estimating these types of shrinkage parameters in finite samples. Finally, we illustrate the empirical relevance of our newly proposed methods using an empirically relevant application. Thus, in summary, via simulations of empirically relevant parameter values, and by a standard empirical application, it is clearly demonstrated that our technique exhibits more precise estimators, compared to traditional techniques - at least when multicollinearity exist among the regressors.

摘要

本文考虑了在存在高度但不完全多重共线性的情况下泊松回归模型参数的估计。为缓解此问题,我们建议使用泊松刘回归估计器(PLRE),并提出一些新方法来估计此收缩参数。使用蒙特卡罗模拟系统地仔细研究了这些估计器的小样本统计特性。为评估这些估计器的性能,我们评估了均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)。模拟结果清楚地说明了在有限样本中估计这类收缩参数方法的益处。最后,我们通过一个具有实证相关性的应用来说明新提出方法的实证相关性。因此,总之,通过对具有实证相关性的参数值进行模拟,并通过一个标准的实证应用,清楚地表明,与传统技术相比,我们的技术表现出更精确的估计器——至少当解释变量之间存在多重共线性时。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6bb8/9041668/c14bc69bad44/CJAS_A_1707485_F0001_OC.jpg

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