Leiva Benjamin, Schramski John R
OES, Universidad Del Valle de Guatemala, Ciudad de Guatemala, Guatemala.
College of Engineering, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia, USA.
Heliyon. 2022 Jun 6;8(6):e09647. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09647. eCollection 2022 Jun.
Efforts to accommodate the growth in global energy consumption within a fragile biosphere are primarily focused on managing the transition towards a low-carbon energy mix. We show evidence that a more fundamental problem exists through a scaling relation, akin to Kleiber's Law, between society's energy consumption and material stocks. Humanity's energy consumption scales at 0.78 of its material stocks, which implies predictable environmental pressure regardless of the energy mix. If true, future global energy scenarios imply vast amounts of materials and corresponding environmental degradation, which have not been adequately acknowledged. Thus, limits to energy consumption are needed regardless of the energy mix to stabilize human intervention in the biosphere.
在脆弱的生物圈中努力适应全球能源消耗增长的举措主要集中在管理向低碳能源组合的转型上。我们通过一种类似于克莱伯定律的标度关系表明，社会能源消耗与物质存量之间存在一个更根本的问题。人类的能源消耗与其物质存量的比例为0.78，这意味着无论能源组合如何，都会产生可预测的环境压力。如果这是真的，未来的全球能源情景意味着大量的物质以及相应的环境退化，而这一点尚未得到充分认识。因此，无论能源组合如何，都需要限制能源消耗，以稳定人类对生物圈的干预。
