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在碳中和目标下,个人碳交易系统的设计如何影响参与意愿?——来自选择实验的证据。

How does the design of personal carbon trading system affect willingness to participate under carbon neutrality goal?-evidence from a choice experiment.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Beijing, 100083, China.

Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment, Ministry of Land and Resources, Beijing, 100083, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Nov;29(54):81970-81992. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-21549-4. Epub 2022 Jun 23.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-21549-4
PMID:35737262
Abstract

In order to achieve the emission peak and carbon neutrality ("30·60" goals), personal carbon trading may be included in China's carbon trading market in the future, based on the corporate-level carbon trading that is already in place. It will be an effective solution to reduce carbon emissions from the consumption side and can be used as a supplement to the corporate carbon trading mechanism and carbon tax. This study constructs a personal carbon trading system based on the fundamental realities of China, which includes four attributes: carbon quota acquisition, trading partner selection, low-carbon behavior offset mechanism, and value preservation mode. Through questionnaire survey and choice experiment, the logit model is used to analyze the influence of the four attributes upon the individual willingness to participate in personal carbon trading and the heterogeneity of the public on personal carbon trading in the context of carbon neutrality policy. The study found that the influence of the attributes on the willingness to participate was ranked as follows: carbon quota acquisition > value preservation mode > low-carbon behavior offset mechanism > trading partner selection. The level of knowledge about carbon neutrality and salary will have a significant positive impact on the attribute-level preference of personal carbon trading. Finally, suggestions are made for designing, applying, and promoting personal carbon trading mechanisms to improve the public's willingness to participate in personal carbon trading and perfect the construction of carbon trading systems at the consumption side. The take-home message of the study is that a well-established personal carbon trading mechanism is an effective solution for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

摘要

为实现排放峰值和碳中和(“30·60”目标),未来中国碳交易市场可能会纳入个人碳交易,这是基于已经存在的企业级碳交易。它将是减少消费侧碳排放的有效解决方案,可作为企业碳交易机制和碳税的补充。本研究基于中国的基本国情构建了个人碳交易系统,包括四个属性:碳配额获取、交易伙伴选择、低碳行为抵消机制和价值保存模式。通过问卷调查和选择实验,使用逻辑回归模型分析了在碳中和政策背景下,这四个属性对个人参与个人碳交易的意愿以及公众对个人碳交易的异质性的影响。研究发现,属性对意愿的影响程度排序如下:碳配额获取>价值保存模式>低碳行为抵消机制>交易伙伴选择。对碳中和的了解程度和工资水平会对个人碳交易的属性偏好产生显著的正向影响。最后,就个人碳交易机制的设计、应用和推广提出了建议,以提高公众参与个人碳交易的意愿,完善消费侧碳交易体系的建设。研究的结论是,建立完善的个人碳交易机制是减少温室气体排放的有效解决方案。

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