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基于机器学习的影响中国居民健康的经济、环境和社会因素研究

Study of the Economic, Environmental, and Social Factors Affecting Chinese Residents' Health Based on Machine Learning.

作者信息

Xu Hui, Pan Wei, Xin Meng, Pan Wulin, Hu Cheng, Wanqiang Dai, Huang Ge

机构信息

Dong Fureng Institute of Economic and Social Development, Wuhan University, Wuhan, China.

School of Applied Economics, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2022 Jun 14;10:896635. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.896635. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The Healthy China Strategy puts realistic demands for residents' health levels, but the reality is that various factors can affect health. In order to clarify which factors have a great impact on residents' health, based on China's provincial panel data from 2011 to 2018, this paper selects 17 characteristic variables from the three levels of economy, environment, and society and uses the XG boost algorithm and Random forest algorithm based on recursive feature elimination to determine the influencing variables. The results show that at the economic level, the number of industrial enterprises above designated size, industrial added value, population density, and per capita GDP have a greater impact on the health of residents. At the environmental level, coal consumption, energy consumption, total wastewater discharge, and solid waste discharge have a greater impact on the health level of residents. Therefore, the Chinese government should formulate targeted measures at both economic and environmental levels, which is of great significance to realizing the Healthy China strategy.

摘要

健康中国战略对居民健康水平提出了现实要求,但现实情况是,各种因素都会影响健康。为了厘清哪些因素对居民健康有重大影响,本文基于2011年至2018年中国省级面板数据,从经济、环境和社会三个层面选取17个特征变量,并采用基于递归特征消除的XGboost算法和随机森林算法来确定影响变量。结果表明,在经济层面,规模以上工业企业数量、工业增加值、人口密度和人均GDP对居民健康影响较大。在环境层面,煤炭消费量、能源消费量、废水排放总量和固体废物排放量对居民健康水平影响较大。因此,中国政府应在经济和环境两个层面制定针对性措施,这对实现健康中国战略具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/5914/9237364/1c8e0b7c119f/fpubh-10-896635-g0001.jpg

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