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“生产-生活-生态”空间冲突识别与分区优化。

Conflict Identification and Zoning Optimization of "Production-Living-Ecological" Space.

机构信息

College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China.

Faculty of Resources and Environmental Science, Hubei University, Wuhan 430062, China.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Jun 29;19(13):7990. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19137990.

Abstract

With the acceleration of economic and social development and the increasing competition between multi-functional spaces, the coordination and stability of land space have been seriously affected. In order to simulate the conflict pattern of "production, living ecological" space and analyze its evolution characteristics, taking Qianjiang City as the research area and based on the current data of land use, the FLUS (Future Land Use Simulation) model and spatial conflict measurement model are used to calculate the change trend of "production, living ecological" spatial conflict in Qianjiang City in the past and in the future. The research results are of great significance for the scientific use of land space and the optimization of regional development patterns. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the level of spatial conflict in Qianjiang City showed an upward trend, the proportion of medium and above conflict units gradually increased, and the conflict level in the study area gradually became dominated by strong conflict. (2) Due to the process of urbanization and the continuous growth of population and GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the construction land in Qianjiang City shows a rapid increase trend under three scenarios, and the cultivated land area shows a downward trend. (3) In 2035, under the three scenarios, the spatial conflict in Qianjiang City will be strengthened, mainly at the level of medium and above. (4) According to the change degree of conflict transformation, 15 change types are divided into five functional zones: ecological protection zone, ecological conservation zone, modern agriculture zone, urban-rural development coordination zone and urban optimization zone.

摘要

随着经济社会发展的加速和多功能空间竞争的加剧,土地空间的协调性和稳定性受到了严重影响。为了模拟“生产、生活、生态”空间的冲突模式并分析其演变特征,本文以潜江市为研究区,基于当前土地利用数据,采用 FLUS(未来土地利用模拟)模型和空间冲突度量模型,计算了潜江市过去和未来“生产、生活、生态”空间冲突的变化趋势。研究结果对土地空间的科学利用和区域发展格局的优化具有重要意义。结果表明:(1)2000-2020 年,潜江市空间冲突水平呈上升趋势,中高强度冲突单元比例逐渐增加,研究区冲突水平逐渐由弱冲突向强冲突主导转变;(2)受城市化进程及人口和 GDP(国内生产总值)不断增长的影响,潜江市建设用地在三种情景下均呈快速增加趋势,耕地面积呈下降趋势;(3)2035 年,在三种情景下,潜江市空间冲突将加剧,主要集中在中高强度水平;(4)根据冲突转化的变化程度,将 15 种变化类型划分为五个功能区:生态保护极、生态保育极、现代农业极、城乡发展协调极和城市优化极。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b63d/9265356/1592c656e81d/ijerph-19-07990-g001.jpg

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