Department of Ecology and Evolution, Wageningen University & Research, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Universiteit van Amsterdam, 1012 WX Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2022 Aug 9;119(32):e2203149119. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2203149119. Epub 2022 Jul 18.
Beliefs can be highly resilient in the sense that they are not easily abandoned in the face of counterevidence. This has the advantage of guiding consistent behavior and judgments but may also have destructive consequences for individuals, nature, and society. For instance, pathological beliefs can sustain psychiatric disorders, the belief that rhinoceros horn is an aphrodisiac may drive a species extinct, beliefs about gender or race may fuel discrimination, and belief in conspiracy theories can undermine democracy. Here, we present a unifying framework of how self-amplifying feedbacks shape the inertia of beliefs on levels ranging from neuronal networks to social systems. Sustained exposure to counterevidence can destabilize rigid beliefs but requires organized rational override as in cognitive behavioral therapy for pathological beliefs or institutional control of discrimination to reduce racial biases. Black-and-white thinking is a major risk factor for the formation of resilient beliefs associated with psychiatric disorders as well as prejudices and conspiracy thinking. Such dichotomous thinking is characteristic of a lack of cognitive resources, which may be exacerbated by stress. This could help explain why conspiracy thinking and psychiatric disorders tend to peak during crises. A corollary is that addressing social factors such as poverty, social cleavage, and lack of education may be the most effective way to prevent the emergence of rigid beliefs, and thus of problems ranging from psychiatric disorders to prejudices, conspiracy theories, and posttruth politics.
信念在面对反证时具有很强的韧性,不易被摒弃。这一特点有利于引导行为和判断保持一致,但也可能对个人、自然和社会造成破坏性的后果。例如,病态信念会导致精神障碍,认为犀牛角是壮阳药可能导致一个物种灭绝,关于性别或种族的信念可能会引发歧视,而对阴谋论的信仰可能会破坏民主。在这里,我们提出了一个统一的框架,说明自我放大的反馈如何塑造从神经元网络到社会系统等各个层面上信念的惯性。持续接触反证可能会破坏僵化的信念,但需要像认知行为疗法对病态信念那样进行有组织的理性干预,或者通过制度控制来减少种族偏见,以减少歧视。非黑即白的思维是形成与精神障碍、偏见和阴谋思维相关的韧性信念的主要风险因素。这种二分法思维是认知资源匮乏的特征,而压力可能会加剧这种情况。这可以帮助解释为什么阴谋思维和精神障碍往往在危机期间达到高峰。其推论是,解决贫困、社会分裂和缺乏教育等社会因素可能是防止僵化信念形成的最有效方法,从而防止从精神障碍到偏见、阴谋论和后真相政治等各种问题的出现。