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裂谷热病毒在牲畜宿主间传播能力的异质性,通过基于模型的宿主病毒载量和媒介感染分析进行量化。

Heterogeneity of Rift Valley fever virus transmission potential across livestock hosts, quantified through a model-based analysis of host viral load and vector infection.

机构信息

INRAE, Oniris, BIOEPAR, Nantes, France.

Quantitative Veterinary Epidemiology, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.

出版信息

PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Jul 22;18(7):e1010314. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010314. eCollection 2022 Jul.

Abstract

Quantifying the variation of pathogens' life history traits in multiple host systems is crucial to understand their transmission dynamics. It is particularly important for arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses), which are prone to infecting several species of vertebrate hosts. Here, we focus on how host-pathogen interactions determine the ability of host species to transmit a virus to susceptible vectors upon a potentially infectious contact. Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a viral, vector-borne, zoonotic disease, chosen as a case study. The relative contributions of livestock species to RVFV transmission has not been previously quantified. To estimate their potential to transmit the virus over the course of their infection, we 1) fitted a within-host model to viral RNA and infectious virus measures, obtained daily from infected lambs, calves, and young goats, 2) estimated the relationship between vertebrate host infectious titers and probability to infect mosquitoes, and 3) estimated the net infectiousness of each host species over the duration of their infectious periods, taking into account different survival outcomes for lambs. Our results indicate that the efficiency of viral replication, along with the lifespan of infectious particles, could be sources of heterogeneity between hosts. Given available data on RVFV competent vectors, we found that, for similar infectious titers, infection rates in the Aedes genus were on average higher than in the Culex genus. Consequently, for Aedes-mediated infections, we estimated the net infectiousness of lambs to be 2.93 (median) and 3.65 times higher than that of calves and goats, respectively. In lambs, we estimated the overall infectiousness to be 1.93 times higher in individuals which eventually died from the infection than in those recovering. Beyond infectiousness, the relative contributions of host species to transmission depend on local ecological factors, including relative abundances and vector host-feeding preferences. Quantifying these contributions will ultimately help design efficient, targeted, surveillance and vaccination strategies.

摘要

量化病原体在多种宿主系统中的生活史特征的变化对于理解其传播动态至关重要。这对于节肢动物传播的病毒(虫媒病毒)尤为重要,因为它们容易感染几种脊椎动物宿主。在这里,我们重点研究宿主-病原体相互作用如何决定宿主物种在可能的传染性接触中将病毒传播给易感媒介的能力。裂谷热 (RVF) 是一种病毒性、媒介传播的人畜共患病,被选为案例研究。家畜物种对 RVFV 传播的相对贡献以前尚未量化。为了估计它们在感染过程中传播病毒的潜力,我们 1)根据从感染羔羊、犊牛和小山羊中每天获得的病毒 RNA 和传染性病毒测量值,拟合了一个体内模型,2)估计了脊椎动物宿主感染滴度与感染蚊子的概率之间的关系,以及 3)考虑到羔羊不同的生存结果,估计了每种宿主物种在其感染期内的净感染力。我们的研究结果表明,病毒复制的效率以及传染性颗粒的寿命可能是宿主之间异质性的来源。考虑到 RVFV 有效媒介的现有数据,我们发现,对于类似的感染滴度,在埃及伊蚊属中的感染率平均高于库蚊属。因此,对于埃及伊蚊属介导的感染,我们估计羔羊的净感染力分别比犊牛和山羊高 2.93(中位数)和 3.65 倍。在羔羊中,我们估计最终因感染而死亡的个体的总感染力比那些恢复的个体高 1.93 倍。除了感染力之外,宿主物种对传播的相对贡献还取决于当地的生态因素,包括相对丰度和媒介对宿主的取食偏好。量化这些贡献将最终有助于设计有效的、有针对性的监测和疫苗接种策略。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0dbe/9348665/8364ce2bf3aa/pcbi.1010314.g001.jpg

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