Prediction of Acute and Chronic Mastitis in Dairy Cows Based on Somatic Cell Score and Mid-Infrared Spectroscopy of Milk.

Monitoring for mastitis on dairy farms is of particular importance, as it is one of the most prevalent bovine diseases. A commonly used indicator for mastitis monitoring is somatic cell count. A supplementary tool to predict mastitis risk may be mid-infrared (MIR) spectroscopy of milk. Because bovine health status can affect milk composition, this technique is already routinely used to determine standard milk components. The aim of the present study was to compare the performance of models to predict clinical mastitis based on MIR spectral data and/or somatic cell count score (SCS), and to explore differences of prediction accuracies for acute and chronic clinical mastitis diagnoses. Test-day data of the routine Austrian milk recording system and diagnosis data of its health monitoring, from 59,002 cows of the breeds Fleckvieh (dual purpose Simmental), Holstein Friesian and Brown Swiss, were used. Test-day records within 21 days before and 21 days after a mastitis diagnosis were defined as mastitis cases. Three different models (MIR, SCS, MIR + SCS) were compared, applying Partial Least Squares Discriminant Analysis. Results of external validation in the overall time window (-/+21 days) showed area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) of 0.70 when based only on MIR, 0.72 when based only on SCS, and 0.76 when based on both. Considering as mastitis cases only the test-day records within 7 days after mastitis diagnosis, the corresponding areas under the curve were 0.77, 0.83 and 0.85. Hence, the model combining MIR spectral data and SCS was performing best. Mastitis probabilities derived from the prediction models are potentially valuable for routine mastitis monitoring for farmers, as well as for the genetic evaluation of the trait udder health.