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匈牙利第三波疫情期间新冠疫苗接种对预防成年人全因死亡的有效性:全国性回顾性队列研究

Effectiveness of COVID-19 Vaccination in Preventing All-Cause Mortality among Adults during the Third Wave of the Epidemic in Hungary: Nationwide Retrospective Cohort Study.

作者信息

Pálinkás Anita, Sándor János

机构信息

Department of Public Health and Epidemiology, Medical Faculty, University of Debrecen, H-4028 Debrecen, Hungary.

出版信息

Vaccines (Basel). 2022 Jun 24;10(7):1009. doi: 10.3390/vaccines10071009.

DOI:10.3390/vaccines10071009
PMID:35891173
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9319484/
Abstract

Our investigation aimed to describe the all-cause mortality rates by COVID-19 vaccination groups in Hungary for an epidemic period (1 April 2021−20 June 2021) and a nonepidemic period (21 June 2021−15 August 2021), and to determine the vaccines’ effectiveness in preventing all-cause mortality utilizing nonepidemic effectiveness measures to adjust for the healthy vaccinee effect (HVE). Sociodemographic status, comorbidity, primary care structural characteristics, and HVE-adjusted survival difference between fully vaccinated and unvaccinated cohorts in the epidemic period had been computed by Cox regression models, separately for each vaccine (six vaccines were available in Hungary). Hazard ratio (HR) reduction in epidemic period corrected with nonepidemic period’s HR with 95% confidence interval for each vaccine was used to describe the vaccine effectiveness (VE). The whole adult population (N = 6,404,702) of the country was followed in this study (4,026,849 fully vaccinated). Each vaccine could reduce the HVE-corrected all-cause mortality in the epidemic period (VEOxford/AstraZeneca = 0.592 [0.518−0.655], VEJanssen = 0.754 [0.628−0.838], VEModerna = 0.573 [0.526−0.615], VEPfizer-BioNTech = 0.487 [0.461−0.513], VESinopharm = 0.530 [0.496−0.561], and VESputnik V = 0.557 [0.493−0.614]). The HVE-corrected general mortality for COVID-19 vaccine cohorts demonstrated the real-life effectiveness of vaccines applied in Hungary, and the usefulness of this indicator to convince vaccine hesitants.

摘要

我们的调查旨在描述匈牙利在疫情期间(2021年4月1日至2021年6月20日)和非疫情期间(2021年6月21日至2021年8月15日)按新冠疫苗接种组划分的全因死亡率,并利用非疫情期间的有效性指标来调整健康接种者效应(HVE),以确定疫苗在预防全因死亡方面的有效性。通过Cox回归模型分别计算了每种疫苗(匈牙利有六种可用疫苗)在疫情期间接种完全疫苗和未接种疫苗队列之间的社会人口统计学状况、合并症、初级保健结构特征以及经HVE调整后的生存差异。用每种疫苗在非疫情期间的风险比(HR)校正疫情期间的HR,并以95%置信区间来描述疫苗有效性(VE)。本研究跟踪了该国全体成年人口(N = 6,404,702)(4,026,849人接种完全疫苗)。每种疫苗均可降低疫情期间经HVE校正的全因死亡率(牛津/阿斯利康疫苗的VE = 0.592 [0.518 - 0.655],杨森疫苗的VE = 0.754 [0.628 - 0.838],莫德纳疫苗的VE = 0.573 [0.526 - 0.615],辉瑞 - 生物科技疫苗的VE = 0.487 [0.461 - 0.513],国药疫苗的VE = 0.530 [0.496 - 0.561],卫星V疫苗的VE = 0.557 [0.493 - 0.614])。新冠疫苗接种队列经HVE校正后的总体死亡率证明了匈牙利应用疫苗的实际有效性,以及该指标在说服疫苗犹豫者方面的有用性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9b34/9319484/339bd4f361ff/vaccines-10-01009-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9b34/9319484/339bd4f361ff/vaccines-10-01009-g002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9b34/9319484/339bd4f361ff/vaccines-10-01009-g002.jpg

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