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2020 年荷兰急性 COVID-19 疾病负担的估计值,以残疾调整生命年来衡量。

The estimated disease burden of acute COVID-19 in the Netherlands in 2020, in disability-adjusted life-years.

机构信息

Center for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, The Netherlands.

University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2022 Oct;37(10):1035-1047. doi: 10.1007/s10654-022-00895-0. Epub 2022 Aug 11.

Abstract

The impact of COVID-19 on population health is recognised as being substantial, yet few studies have attempted to quantify to what extent infection causes mild or moderate symptoms only, requires hospital and/or ICU admission, results in prolonged and chronic illness, or leads to premature death. We aimed to quantify the total disease burden of acute COVID-19 in the Netherlands in 2020 using the disability-adjusted life-years (DALY) measure, and to investigate how burden varies between age-groups and occupations. Using standard methods and diverse data sources (mandatory notifications, population-level seroprevalence, hospital and ICU admissions, registered COVID-19 deaths, and the literature), we estimated years of life lost (YLL), years lived with disability, DALY and DALY per 100,000 population due to COVID-19, excluding post-acute sequelae, stratified by 5-year age-group and occupation category. The total disease burden due to acute COVID-19 was 286,100 (95% CI: 281,700-290,500) DALY, and the per-capita burden was 1640 (95% CI: 1620-1670) DALY/100,000, of which 99.4% consisted of YLL. The per-capita burden increased steeply with age, starting from 60 to 64 years, with relatively little burden estimated for persons under 50 years old. SARS-CoV-2 infection and associated premature mortality was responsible for a considerable direct health burden in the Netherlands, despite extensive public health measures. DALY were much higher than for other high-burden infectious diseases, but lower than estimated for coronary heart disease. These findings are valuable for informing public health decision-makers regarding the expected COVID-19 health burden among population subgroups, and the possible gains from targeted preventative interventions.

摘要

COVID-19 对人口健康的影响被认为是巨大的,但很少有研究试图量化感染导致仅轻微或中度症状、需要住院和/或 ICU 入院、导致长期和慢性疾病或导致过早死亡的程度。我们旨在使用残疾调整生命年 (DALY) 衡量标准来量化 2020 年荷兰急性 COVID-19 的总疾病负担,并调查负担如何在年龄组和职业之间存在差异。使用标准方法和多种数据源(强制报告、人群血清流行率、医院和 ICU 入院、登记的 COVID-19 死亡以及文献),我们估计了因 COVID-19 导致的生命损失年 (YLL)、残疾生存年、DALY 和每 10 万人的 DALY,不包括急性后 COVID-19 后遗症,按 5 岁年龄组和职业类别分层。急性 COVID-19 的总疾病负担为 286,100(95%CI:281,700-290,500)DALY,人均负担为 1640(95%CI:1620-1670)DALY/100,000,其中 99.4% 由 YLL 构成。人均负担随着年龄的增长急剧增加,从 60 岁到 64 岁开始,50 岁以下的人估计负担相对较小。尽管采取了广泛的公共卫生措施,但 SARS-CoV-2 感染和相关的过早死亡对荷兰造成了相当大的直接健康负担。DALY 远高于其他高负担传染病,但低于估计的冠心病。这些发现对于告知公共卫生决策者在人口亚组中预期的 COVID-19 健康负担以及针对目标预防干预措施的可能收益非常有价值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/dce8/9630242/f1f8961ac5ba/10654_2022_895_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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