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中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞及血小板比值对急性呼吸窘迫综合征患者 28 天死亡率的预后价值:一项回顾性研究。

Prognostic value of neutrophils to lymphocytes and platelets ratio for 28-day mortality in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome: a retrospective study.

机构信息

Department of Critical Care Medicine, Yongchuan Hospital, Chongqing Medical University, No. 439 Xuanhua Road, Yongchuan District, Chongqing, 402160, China.

出版信息

BMC Pulm Med. 2022 Aug 15;22(1):314. doi: 10.1186/s12890-022-02112-w.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a rapidly progressive and fatal respiratory failure disease that often occurs in critically ill patients. Since ARDS is associated with immune dysregulation and coagulation abnormalities, it is necessary to identify an appropriate predictor that can accurately predict ARDS mortality based on its pathophysiology. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the clinical value of neutrophils to lymphocytes and platelets ratio (N/LPR) in predicting 28-day mortality in ARDS patients.

METHODS

From July 2018 to October 2021, the medical records of ARDS patients were retrospective reviewed. Neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, and platelet count were collected, and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and N/LPR were calculated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of 28-day mortality in ARDS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with the area under curve (AUC) was used to evaluate optimal cut-off values for 28-day mortality in ARDS. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate the 28-day survival probabilities stratified by optimal cut-off values of N/LPR and NLR.

RESULTS

A total of 136 ARDS patients were included in this study and were further divided into survivors (n = 69) and non-survivors (n = 67) groups according to their survival status on day 28. There were no significant differences between the two groups in age, sex, history of smoking and drinking, comorbidities, and reasons of admission (P > 0.05). Non-survivors had significantly higher neutrophil counts, NLR and N/LPR and had significantly lower platelet counts than survivors (P < 0.05). Multivariate regression analysis revealed that N/LPR, NLR and platelet counts were independent predictors for 28-day mortality in ARDS (P < 0.05). The ROC analyses showed that N/LPR with optimal cut-off value of 10.57 (sensitivity: 74.6%; specificity: 72.5%) is a more reliable predictor for 28-day mortality in ARDS than NLR and platelet count (AUC: 0.785 vs. 0.679 vs. 0.326). Further subgroup analysis confirmed that ARDS patients with N/LPR < 10.57 had significantly lower 28-day mortality than patients with N/LPR ≥ 10.57 (P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis also confirmed that ARDS patients with N/LPR < 10.57 had significantly longer survival.

CONCLUSION

N/LPR is an independent risk factor associated with 28-day mortality in ARDS patients and shows better performance in predicting mortality rate than NLR.

摘要

背景

急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)是一种迅速进展且致命的呼吸衰竭疾病,常发生在重症患者中。由于 ARDS 与免疫失调和凝血异常有关,因此需要确定一种合适的预测因子,根据其病理生理学准确预测 ARDS 死亡率。因此,本研究旨在评估中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞和血小板比值(N/LPR)在预测 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率方面的临床价值。

方法

回顾性分析 2018 年 7 月至 2021 年 10 月期间 ARDS 患者的病历。收集中性粒细胞计数、淋巴细胞计数和血小板计数,并计算中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和 N/LPR。采用多变量逻辑回归分析确定 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率的独立预测因子。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估 AUC 用于评估 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率的最佳截断值。Kaplan-Meier 分析用于根据 N/LPR 和 NLR 的最佳截断值分层估计 28 天生存率。

结果

本研究共纳入 136 例 ARDS 患者,根据第 28 天的生存状况进一步分为幸存者(n=69)和非幸存者(n=67)组。两组在年龄、性别、吸烟和饮酒史、合并症和入院原因方面无显著差异(P>0.05)。非幸存者的中性粒细胞计数、NLR 和 N/LPR 显著高于幸存者,血小板计数显著低于幸存者(P<0.05)。多变量回归分析显示,N/LPR、NLR 和血小板计数是 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率的独立预测因子(P<0.05)。ROC 分析显示,N/LPR 的最佳截断值为 10.57(灵敏度:74.6%;特异性:72.5%),是预测 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率的更可靠指标,优于 NLR 和血小板计数(AUC:0.785 比 0.679 比 0.326)。进一步的亚组分析证实,N/LPR<10.57 的 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率显著低于 N/LPR≥10.57 的患者(P<0.001)。Kaplan-Meier 分析也证实,N/LPR<10.57 的 ARDS 患者的生存率显著延长。

结论

N/LPR 是 ARDS 患者 28 天死亡率的独立危险因素,在预测死亡率方面优于 NLR。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f044/9377100/4a48d5e66ee6/12890_2022_2112_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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