中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和中性粒细胞与血小板比值(NPR)联合在脓毒症中的预后价值。
The prognostic value of the combined neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR) in sepsis.
机构信息
Department of Pediatrics, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 87 Xiangya Road, Changsha, 410008, Hunan, China.
The Center of Respiratory Medicine, Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, 87 Xiangya Road, Changsha, 410008, Hunan, China.
出版信息
Sci Rep. 2024 Jul 2;14(1):15075. doi: 10.1038/s41598-024-64469-8.
Sepsis is a severe disease characterized by high mortality rates. Our aim was to develop an early prognostic indicator of adverse outcomes in sepsis, utilizing easily accessible routine blood tests. A retrospective analysis of sepsis patients from the MIMIC-IV database was conducted. We performed univariate and multivariate regression analyses to identify independent risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality within 28 days. Logistic regression was utilized to combine the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR) into a composite score, denoted as NLR_NPR. We used ROC curves to compare the prognostic performance of the models and Kaplan-Meier survival curves to assess the 28 day survival rate. Subgroup analysis was performed to evaluate the applicability of NLR_NPR in different subpopulations based on specific characteristics. This study included a total of 1263 sepsis patients, of whom 179 died within 28 days of hospitalization, while 1084 survived beyond 28 days. Multivariate regression analysis identified age, respiratory rate, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), neutrophil-to-platelet ratio (NPR), hypertension, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score as independent risk factors for 28 day mortality in septic patients (P < 0.05). Additionally, in the prediction model based on blood cell-related parameters, the combined NLR_NPR score exhibited the highest predictive value for 28 day mortality (AUC = 0.6666), followed by NLR (AUC = 0.6456) and NPR (AUC = 0.6284). Importantly, the performance of the NLR_NPR score was superior to that of the commonly used SOFA score (AUC = 0.5613). Subgroup analysis showed that NLR_NPR remained an independent risk factor for 28 day in-hospital mortality in the subgroups of age, respiratory rate, and SOFA, although not in the hypertension subgroup. The combined use of NLR and NPR from routine blood tests represents a readily available and reliable predictive marker for 28 day mortality in sepsis patients. These results imply that clinicians should prioritize patients with higher NLR_NPR scores for closer monitoring to reduce mortality rates.
脓毒症是一种死亡率很高的严重疾病。我们的目的是利用易于获得的常规血液检查来开发脓毒症不良预后的早期预测指标。对 MIMIC-IV 数据库中的脓毒症患者进行了回顾性分析。我们进行了单变量和多变量回归分析,以确定与 28 天内院内死亡率相关的独立危险因素。利用逻辑回归将中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)和中性粒细胞与血小板比值(NPR)结合成一个复合评分,命名为 NLR_NPR。我们使用 ROC 曲线比较了模型的预后性能,并使用 Kaplan-Meier 生存曲线评估了 28 天的生存率。进行了亚组分析,以评估 NLR_NPR 在基于特定特征的不同亚群中的适用性。这项研究共纳入了 1263 例脓毒症患者,其中 179 例在住院后 28 天内死亡,1084 例存活超过 28 天。多变量回归分析确定年龄、呼吸频率、中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、中性粒细胞与血小板比值(NPR)、高血压和序贯器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分是脓毒症患者 28 天死亡率的独立危险因素(P<0.05)。此外,在基于血细胞相关参数的预测模型中,联合 NLR_NPR 评分对 28 天死亡率的预测价值最高(AUC=0.6666),其次是 NLR(AUC=0.6456)和 NPR(AUC=0.6284)。重要的是,NLR_NPR 评分的性能优于常用的 SOFA 评分(AUC=0.5613)。亚组分析显示,在年龄、呼吸频率和 SOFA 的亚组中,NLR_NPR 仍然是 28 天院内死亡率的独立危险因素,但在高血压亚组中不是。联合使用常规血液检查中的 NLR 和 NPR 是预测脓毒症患者 28 天死亡率的一种易于获得且可靠的预测标志物。这些结果表明,临床医生应优先关注 NLR_NPR 评分较高的患者,进行更密切的监测,以降低死亡率。