School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Oklahoma, Norman, Oklahoma, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2022 Aug 24;17(8):e0270407. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0270407. eCollection 2022.
Critical infrastructure networks are vital for a functioning society and their failure can have widespread consequences. Decision-making for critical infrastructure resilience can suffer based on several characteristics exhibited by these networks, including (i) that there exist interdependencies with other networks, (ii) that several decision-makers represent potentially competing interests among the interdependent networks, and (iii) that information about other decision-makers' actions are uncertain and potentially unknown. To address these concerns, we propose an adaptive algorithm using machine learning to integrate predictions about other decision-makers' behavior into an interdependent network restoration planning problem considering an imperfect information sharing environment. We examined our algorithm against the optimal solution for various types, sizes, and dependencies of networks, resulting in insignificant differences. To assess the proposed algorithm's efficiency, we compared its results with a proposed heuristic method that prioritizes, and schedules components restoration based on centrality-based importance measures. The proposed algorithm provides a solution sufficiently close to the optimal solution showing the algorithm performs well in situations where the information sharing environment is incomplete.
关键基础设施网络对于社会的正常运转至关重要,其失效可能会产生广泛的后果。由于这些网络具有以下几个特征,因此在进行关键基础设施弹性决策时可能会受到影响:(i)与其他网络存在相互依存关系;(ii)几个决策者代表相互依存网络之间潜在的竞争利益;(iii)关于其他决策者行为的信息是不确定的,并且可能是未知的。为了解决这些问题,我们提出了一种使用机器学习的自适应算法,以将其他决策者行为的预测纳入考虑到不完善的信息共享环境的相互依存网络恢复规划问题中。我们针对不同类型、规模和依赖性的网络,将我们的算法与最优解进行了比较,结果没有显著差异。为了评估所提出算法的效率,我们将其结果与一种基于重要性度量的基于中心性的优先级和组件恢复调度的启发式方法进行了比较。所提出的算法提供了一个足够接近最优解的解决方案,表明该算法在信息共享环境不完整的情况下表现良好。