Braggio John T, Hall Eric S, Weber Stephanie A, Huff Amy K
Maryland Department of Health, Baltimore, MD 21201, USA.
Mt. Diablo Analytical Solutions and Reporting Institute, LLC (Diablo Analytical Institute, DAI), 3474 Tice Creek Drive, Unit 7, Walnut Creek, CA 94595, USA.
Atmosphere (Basel). 2022 Apr 30;13(5):1-33. doi: 10.3390/atmos13050719.
Optimal use of Hierarchical Bayesian Model (HBM)-assembled aerosol optical depth (AOD)-PM fused surfaces in epidemiologic studies requires homogeneous temporal and spatial fused surfaces. No analytical method is available to evaluate spatial heterogeneity. The temporal case-crossover design was modified to assess the spatial association between four experimental AOD-PM fused surfaces and four respiratory-cardiovascular hospital events in 12 km grids. The maximum number of adjacent lag grids with significant odds ratios (ORs) identified homogeneous spatial areas (HOSAs). The largest HOSA included five grids (lag grids 04; 720 km) and the smallest HOSA contained two grids (lag grids 01; 288 km). Emergency department asthma and inpatient asthma, myocardial infarction, and heart failure ORs were significantly higher in rural grids without air monitors than in urban grids with air monitors at lag grids 0, 1, and 01. Rural grids had higher AOD-PM concentration levels, population density, and poverty percentages than urban grids. Warm season ORs were significantly higher than cold season ORs for all health outcomes at lag grids 0, 1, 01, and 04. The possibility of elevated fine and ultrafine PM and other demographic and environmental risk factors synergistically contributing to elevated respiratory-cardiovascular chronic diseases in persons residing in rural areas was discussed.
在流行病学研究中,要想最佳地使用分层贝叶斯模型(HBM)组装的气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)-颗粒物(PM)融合曲面,就需要均匀的时空融合曲面。目前尚无分析方法可用于评估空间异质性。对时间病例交叉设计进行了修改,以评估12公里网格中四个实验性AOD-PM融合曲面与四种呼吸-心血管医院事件之间的空间关联。具有显著优势比(OR)的相邻滞后网格的最大数量确定了均匀空间区域(HOSAs)。最大的HOSA包括五个网格(滞后网格04;720公里),最小的HOSA包含两个网格(滞后网格01;288公里)。在滞后网格0、1和01处,没有空气监测器的农村网格中急诊科哮喘、住院哮喘、心肌梗死和心力衰竭的优势比显著高于有空气监测器的城市网格。农村网格的AOD-PM浓度水平、人口密度和贫困百分比高于城市网格。在滞后网格0、1、01和04处,所有健康结局的暖季优势比均显著高于冷季优势比。文中讨论了细颗粒物和超细颗粒物升高以及其他人口和环境风险因素协同导致农村居民呼吸-心血管慢性病升高的可能性。