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加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚省奥密克戎变异株与德尔塔变异株引起的严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2 型临床严重程度的比较:全基因组测序病例的回顾性分析。

Clinical Severity of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Omicron Variant Relative to Delta in British Columbia, Canada: A Retrospective Analysis of Whole-Genome Sequenced Cases.

机构信息

British Columbia Centre for Disease Control, Vancouver, Canada.

Centre for Disease Control, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada.

出版信息

Clin Infect Dis. 2023 Feb 8;76(3):e18-e25. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciac705.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

In late 2021, the Omicron severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variant emerged and rapidly replaced Delta as the dominant variant. The increased transmissibility of Omicron led to surges in case rates and hospitalizations; however, the true severity of the variant remained unclear. We aimed to provide robust estimates of Omicron severity relative to Delta.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted with data from the British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort, a large provincial surveillance platform with linkage to administrative datasets. To capture the time of cocirculation with Omicron and Delta, December 2021 was chosen as the study period. Whole-genome sequencing was used to determine Omicron and Delta variants. To assess the severity (hospitalization, intensive care unit [ICU] admission, length of stay), we conducted adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, weighted by inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW).

RESULTS

The cohort was composed of 13 128 individuals (7729 Omicron and 5399 Delta). There were 419 coronavirus disease 2019 hospitalizations, with 118 (22%) among people diagnosed with Omicron (crude rate = 1.5% Omicron, 5.6% Delta). In multivariable IPTW analysis, Omicron was associated with a 50% lower risk of hospitalization compared with Delta (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.43 to 0.59), a 73% lower risk of ICU admission (aHR = 0.27, 95% CI = 0.19 to 0.38), and a 5-day shorter hospital stay (aß = -5.03, 95% CI = -8.01 to -2.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis supports findings from other studies that have demonstrated lower risk of severe outcomes in Omicron-infected individuals relative to Delta.

摘要

背景

2021 年末,奥密克戎严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2 变异株出现,并迅速取代德尔塔成为主要变异株。奥密克戎的传染性增加导致病例数和住院人数激增;然而,该变异株的真正严重程度仍不清楚。我们旨在提供奥密克戎严重程度相对于德尔塔的可靠估计。

方法

这项回顾性队列研究使用不列颠哥伦比亚省 COVID-19 队列的数据进行,该队列是一个具有与行政数据集链接的大型省级监测平台。为了捕捉奥密克戎和德尔塔共同流行的时间,选择 2021 年 12 月作为研究期。全基因组测序用于确定奥密克戎和德尔塔变体。为了评估严重程度(住院、重症监护病房[ICU]入院、住院时间),我们使用逆概率治疗权重(IPTW)进行了调整后的 Cox 比例风险模型。

结果

队列由 13128 人组成(奥密克戎 7729 人,德尔塔 5399 人)。有 419 例 COVID-19 住院病例,其中 118 例(22%)为奥密克戎确诊患者(粗率=奥密克戎 1.5%,德尔塔 5.6%)。在多变量 IPTW 分析中,奥密克戎与住院的风险降低 50%相关,与德尔塔相比(调整后的危险比[aHR]=0.50,95%置信区间[CI]:0.43 至 0.59),ICU 入院的风险降低 73%(aHR=0.27,95%CI:0.19 至 0.38),住院时间缩短 5 天(aß=-5.03,95%CI:-8.01 至-2.05)。

结论

我们的分析支持其他研究的发现,这些研究表明奥密克戎感染个体的严重后果风险较低。

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