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对战斗机飞行员进行物理治疗和力量训练的成本与收益的初步分析。

A Preliminary Analysis of the Costs and Benefits of Physical Therapy and Strength Training for Fighter Pilots.

出版信息

Aerosp Med Hum Perform. 2022 Aug 1;93(8):822. doi: 10.3357/AMHP.6086.2022.

DOI:10.3357/AMHP.6086.2022
PMID:36050851
Abstract

Occupational hazards facing high performance aircraft pilots ("fighter" pilots) can cause injury, time lost from flying, and voluntary or involuntary career termination. The high cost of training and retaining fighter pilots has spurred interest in the cost effectiveness of preventative and rehabilitative health solutions. We investigated the potential cost effectiveness of a 5-yr, $24.9M U.S. preventative health program using equivalent annual worth (EAW) analysis. The program benefits were assessed with a combination of actual and estimated medical cost data and projected pilot retention improvement rates. Sensitivity analysis of variables such as discount rate, medical cost avoidance, and pilot retention improvement rate was conducted. Annualized costs of approximately $5M U.S. were used as the basis of comparison for annualized benefits. A medical cost database was searched to find expected annual direct medical (outpatient) costs related to injury of roughly $531K U.S. for the pilots covered by the program. Using Centers for Disease Control recommendations, approximately $4.7M U.S. was estimated to be the annual work loss cost. The program would presumably reduce a significant portion of these annual costs, but not all. Assuming various proportions of reduced costs by the program, the EAW was found to be consistently negative. However, when pilot retention improvement is included, EAW is positive using conservative assumptions. While outpatient and work loss costs will unlikely be completely covered by preventative health programs in this context, a minor improvement in pilot retention (about 1-3 additional retentions per year) produces a net positive annual benefit.

摘要

高性能飞机飞行员(“战斗机”飞行员)面临的职业危害可能导致受伤、飞行时间损失以及自愿或非自愿的职业终止。培训和保留战斗机飞行员的成本高昂,这激发了人们对预防和康复健康解决方案的成本效益的兴趣。我们使用等效年度价值(EAW)分析研究了一项为期 5 年、耗资 2490 万美元的美国预防保健计划的潜在成本效益。该计划的效益通过实际和估计的医疗成本数据以及预测的飞行员保留率改善率进行评估。对变量(如折扣率、医疗成本避免和飞行员保留率改善率)进行敏感性分析。每年约 500 万美元的年化成本被用作年化效益的比较基础。医疗成本数据库被搜索以查找与该计划涵盖的飞行员受伤相关的预期年度直接医疗(门诊)成本约为 53.1 万美元。根据疾病控制中心的建议,估计每年的工作损失成本约为 470 万美元。该计划可能会降低这些年度成本的很大一部分,但不是全部。假设该计划减少了一定比例的成本,那么 EAW 始终为负。然而,当包括飞行员保留率改善时,使用保守假设,EAW 为正。虽然在这种情况下,门诊和工作损失成本不太可能完全由预防保健计划覆盖,但飞行员保留率的微小改善(每年增加 1-3 人)会产生净年度效益。

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