Duarte Leandro Emanuel, Delgado Florencia, Di Leo Néstor Cristian, Bertone Carola Leticia, Franci Alvarez María, Montico Sergio, Oliva Alejandro
Programa Medio Ambiente y Salud (PROMAS) Centro de Estudios interdisciplinarios Universidad Nacional de Rosario Argentina Programa Medio Ambiente y Salud (PROMAS), Centro de Estudios interdisciplinarios, Universidad Nacional de Rosario, Argentina.
Centro de Estudios Territoriales (CET) Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad Nacional de Rosario Argentina Centro de Estudios Territoriales (CET), Facultad de Ciencias Agrarias, Universidad Nacional de Rosario, Argentina.
Rev Panam Salud Publica. 2022 Aug 30;46:e129. doi: 10.26633/RPSP.2022.129. eCollection 2022.
Cancer mortality in the central region of Argentina is among the highest in the country. Two possible environmental factors could explain this situation: agricultural activity and drinking water quality. The objective of the study is to evaluate the interaction between these variables.
This is a retrospective ecological study. Total cropland over 10-year periods as well as the percentage of the population exposed to high levels of arsenic and nitrates in drinking water were analyzed and compared to total mortality rates (TMR) and organ-specific mortality rates (SMR); the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient was then calculated.
Positive and significant correlations were found between the first two 10-year periods of total cropland and the first 10-year period of TMR, as well as correlations with lung, pancreatic, and colon cancers in men and colon cancer in women. Elevated arsenic levels are associated with TMR in both sexes across all 10-year periods but are specifically associated with lung cancer in men. No significant correlation was found with nitrates.
The association between total cropland and TMR/SMR is stronger with proximity over time, with greater impact from the oldest crops. The association between TMR and consumption of water containing arsenic, as well as the association with lung SMR in men and colon SMR in women, show that exposure over time is essential to understanding regional epidemiological conditions. The synergy between these variables should be explored.
阿根廷中部地区的癌症死亡率位居该国前列。有两个可能的环境因素可以解释这种情况:农业活动和饮用水质量。本研究的目的是评估这些变量之间的相互作用。
这是一项回顾性生态研究。分析了10年期间的总耕地面积以及饮用水中接触高浓度砷和硝酸盐的人口百分比,并与总死亡率(TMR)和器官特异性死亡率(SMR)进行比较;然后计算了Spearman等级相关系数。
在总耕地面积的前两个10年期间与TMR的第一个10年期间之间发现了显著的正相关,以及与男性的肺癌、胰腺癌和结肠癌以及女性的结肠癌之间的相关性。在所有10年期间,砷含量升高与男女的TMR均相关,但在男性中尤其与肺癌相关。未发现与硝酸盐有显著相关性。
随着时间的推移,总耕地面积与TMR/SMR之间的关联随着接近程度的增加而更强,最古老的作物影响更大。TMR与含砷水的消费之间的关联,以及与男性肺癌SMR和女性结肠癌SMR之间的关联,表明随着时间的推移接触对于理解区域流行病学状况至关重要。应探索这些变量之间的协同作用。