Tanwar Sudeep, Kumari Aparna, Vekaria Darshan, Kumar Neeraj, Sharma Ravi
Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Institute of Technology, Nirma University, Ahmedabad, India.
Thapar Institute of Engineering and Technology, (Deemed to be University), Patiala, Punjab, India.
Comput Electr Eng. 2022 Oct;103:108352. doi: 10.1016/j.compeleceng.2022.108352. Epub 2022 Sep 2.
The proliferating outbreak of COVID-19 raises global health concerns and has brought many countries to a standstill. Several restrain strategies are imposed to suppress and flatten the mortality curve, such as lockdowns, quarantines, etc. Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques could be a promising solution to leverage these restraint strategies. However, real-time decision-making necessitates a cloud-oriented AI solution to control the pandemic. Though many cloud-oriented solutions exist, they have not been fully exploited for real-time data accessibility and high prediction accuracy. Motivated by these facts, this paper proposes a cloud-oriented AI-based scheme referred to as (i.e., Disease-espy) for disease detection and prevention. The proposed scheme performs a comparative analysis between Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Vanilla Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), and Stacked LSTM techniques, which signify the dominance of Stacked LSTM in terms of prediction accuracy. Then, a Medical Resource Distribution (MRD) mechanism is proposed for the optimal distribution of medical resources. Next, a three-phase analysis of the COVID-19 spread is presented, which can benefit the governing bodies in deciding lockdown relaxation. Results show the efficacy of the scheme concerning 96.2% of prediction accuracy compared to the existing approaches.
新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)的不断扩散引发了全球对健康的担忧,并使许多国家陷入停滞。为了抑制并平缓死亡率曲线,人们实施了多种限制策略,如封锁、隔离等。人工智能(AI)技术可能是利用这些限制策略的一个有前景的解决方案。然而,实时决策需要一个面向云的人工智能解决方案来控制疫情。尽管存在许多面向云的解决方案,但它们尚未被充分用于实时数据访问和高预测准确性。受这些事实的启发,本文提出了一种面向云的基于人工智能的方案,称为(即疾病监测)用于疾病检测和预防。所提出的方案对自回归积分滑动平均(ARIMA)、普通长短期记忆(LSTM)和堆叠LSTM技术进行了比较分析,这表明堆叠LSTM在预测准确性方面具有优势。然后,提出了一种医疗资源分配(MRD)机制,用于医疗资源的优化分配。接下来,对COVID-19的传播进行了三个阶段的分析,这有助于管理机构决定放松封锁。结果表明,与现有方法相比,该方案的预测准确率为96.2%,具有有效性。