Pakoksung Kwanchai, Suppasri Anawat, Imamura Fumihiko
International Research Institute of Disaster Science, Tohoku University, Sendai, 980-0845, Japan.
Sci Rep. 2022 Sep 7;12(1):15187. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-19486-w.
On 15 January 2022 at 04:15 UTC, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) volcano in Tonga produced a massive eruption that triggered a transoceanic tsunami generated by the coupled ocean and atmospheric shock wave produced during the explosion. The tsunami first reached the coast of Tonga and eventually reached many coasts around the world. This volcano previously underwent a massive eruption in 1100 AD, and an eruption occurs approximately every 1000 years. The 2022 HTHH event provides an opportunity to study a major volcanically generated tsunami that caused substantial damage. In this study, we present a numerical simulation of a tsunami with a state-of-the-art numerical model based on a submarine explosion scenario. We constrain the geometry and magnitude of the explosion energy source based on analyses of pre- and post-event satellite images, which demonstrate that the explosion magnitude varied from 1 to 90 megatons of trinitrotoluene (Mt). Estimated submarine explosion geometries result in a suitable explosion magnitude of approximately 25 Mt, as determined with the waveform from the tide gauge in the time and frequency domains. The tsunami wave first reached the northwestern part of Tonga's Tongatapu within 10 min, with a maximum runup height of approximately 15 m, and covered the whole of Tongatapu within 30 min. Finally, the numerical simulation provides deep insights into the physical volcanic explosion processes and improves our understanding and forecasting capabilities of frequent and catastrophic tsunamis caused by submarine volcanic explosions.
2022年1月15日协调世界时04:15,汤加的洪阿哈阿帕伊岛火山发生大规模喷发,引发了由爆炸过程中产生的海洋与大气耦合冲击波所造成的越洋海啸。海啸首先抵达汤加海岸,最终波及世界许多海岸。这座火山曾在公元1100年经历过一次大规模喷发,且大约每1000年喷发一次。2022年的洪阿哈阿帕伊岛火山事件为研究一场造成重大破坏的由火山引发的大型海啸提供了契机。在本研究中,我们基于一次海底爆炸场景,用一个最先进的数值模型对海啸进行了数值模拟。我们根据对事件前后卫星图像的分析来确定爆炸能量源的几何形状和量级,这些分析表明爆炸量级在1至90兆吨三硝基甲苯(Mt)之间变化。根据潮汐测量仪在时域和频域的波形确定,估计的海底爆炸几何形状导致合适的爆炸量级约为25 Mt。海啸波在10分钟内首先抵达汤加汤加塔布岛的西北部,最大浪高约为15米,并在30分钟内覆盖了整个汤加塔布岛。最后,数值模拟为火山爆炸的物理过程提供了深刻见解,并提高了我们对由海底火山爆炸引发的频繁且灾难性海啸的理解和预测能力。