Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University, Boston, MA, USA.
Department of Statistics, Oxford University, Oxford, UK.
Nat Commun. 2022 Sep 8;13(1):5283. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-32640-2.
Regular rapid testing can provide twofold benefilts: identifying infectious individuals and providing positive tests sufficiently early during infection that treatment with antivirals can effectively inhibit development of severe disease. Here, we provide a quantitative illustration of the extent of nirmatrelvir-associated treatment benefits that are accrued among high-risk populations when rapid tests are administered at various intervals. Strategies for which tests are administered more frequently are associated with greater reductions in the risk of hospitalization, with weighted risk ratios for testing every other day to once every 2 weeks ranging from 0.17 (95% CI: 0.11-0.28) to 0.77 (95% CI: 0.69-0.83) and correspondingly, higher proportions of the infected population benefiting from treatment, ranging from 0.26 (95% CI: 0.18-0.34) to 0.92 (95% CI: 0.80-0.98), respectively. Importantly, reduced treatment delays, coupled with increased test and treatment coverage, have a critical influence on average treatment benefits, confirming the significance of access.
可以识别出具有传染性的个体,并在感染早期进行阳性检测,从而使抗病毒药物治疗能够有效抑制重症疾病的发展。在这里,我们定量说明了在高危人群中,以不同时间间隔进行快速检测时,奈玛特韦相关治疗获益的程度。检测频率较高的策略与住院风险降低的相关性更大,每隔一天或每两周进行一次检测的加权风险比为 0.17(95%CI:0.11-0.28)至 0.77(95%CI:0.69-0.83),并且从感染人群中受益于治疗的比例相应更高,从 0.26(95%CI:0.18-0.34)到 0.92(95%CI:0.80-0.98)。重要的是,治疗延迟的减少,加上检测和治疗覆盖率的提高,对平均治疗获益有重要影响,这证实了可及性的重要性。