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巴西东北部地区 COVID-19 大流行第一年期间 SARS-CoV-2 血清流行率的动态变化。

Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Northeast region of Brazil.

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Federal University of Sergipe, São Cristóvão, Sergipe, Brazil.

Health Sciences Graduate Program, Federal University of Sergipe, Aracaju, Sergipe, Brazil.

出版信息

Pathog Glob Health. 2023 Jul;117(5):505-512. doi: 10.1080/20477724.2022.2121366. Epub 2022 Sep 12.

DOI:10.1080/20477724.2022.2121366
PMID:36094065
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10262788/
Abstract

In this household-based seroepidemiological survey, we analyzed the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Sergipe State, Northeast Brazil, the poorest region of the country. A total of 16,547 individuals were tested using a rapid IgM-IgG antibody test and fluorescence immunoassay (FIA). Seroprevalence rates were presented according to age, sex, and geographic region. A comparative analysis was performed between the results obtained in July 2020 (peak of the first wave), August - November 2020 (end of the first wave), and February - March 2021 (beginning of the second wave). Seroprevalence rates in the three phases were estimated at 9.3% (95% CI 8.5-10.1), 12.0% (95% CI 11.2-12.9) and 15.4% (95% CI 14.5-16.4). At the end of the first wave, there was a rise in seroprevalence in the countryside (p < 0.001). At the beginning of the second wave, we found an increase in seroprevalence among women (p < 0.001), adults aged 20 to 59 years (p < 0.001), and the elderly (p < 0.001). In this phase, we found an increase in estimates both in metropolitan areas and in the countryside (p < 0.001). This study showed an increase in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence over the first year of the pandemic, with approximately one in six people having anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at the beginning of the second wave of COVID-19. Furthermore, our results suggest a rapid spread of COVID-19 from metropolitan areas to the countryside during the first months of the pandemic.

摘要

在这项基于家庭的血清流行病学调查中,我们分析了巴西东北部塞尔希培州 COVID-19 大流行第一年期间 SARS-CoV-2 血清流行率的动态,该州是该国最贫穷的地区。共有 16547 人接受了快速 IgM-IgG 抗体检测和荧光免疫分析(FIA)检测。根据年龄、性别和地理区域呈现血清流行率。对 2020 年 7 月(第一波高峰)、2020 年 8 月至 11 月(第一波结束)和 2021 年 2 月至 3 月(第二波开始)获得的结果进行了比较分析。三个阶段的血清流行率估计分别为 9.3%(95%CI8.5-10.1)、12.0%(95%CI11.2-12.9)和 15.4%(95%CI14.5-16.4)。在第一波结束时,农村地区的血清流行率上升(p<0.001)。在第二波开始时,我们发现女性(p<0.001)、20 至 59 岁成年人(p<0.001)和老年人(p<0.001)的血清流行率增加。在这一阶段,我们发现大都市和农村地区的估计值都有所增加(p<0.001)。本研究表明,在大流行的第一年,SARS-CoV-2 血清流行率增加,大约在 COVID-19 第二波开始时,每六个人中就有一人具有抗 SARS-CoV-2 抗体。此外,我们的结果表明,在大流行的头几个月,COVID-19 从大都市迅速传播到农村。

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