Impact of regional temperature on the adoption of electric vehicles: an empirical study based on 20 provinces in China.

The development of electric vehicles (EVs) is not only a necessary path for China to move from a big country to a powerful country in automobile industry, but also a strategic measure to achieve the goal of "peak carbon dioxide emissions" and "carbon neutrality." However, in the low and high temperature environment, EVs may face problems such as a large reduction in cruising range, slow charging and poor safety, which decrease the attractiveness of EVs to consumers and hinder the EV adoption. However, existing research rarely pays attention to the impact of temperature on the EV adoption. Based on the panel data of electric vehicle sales in 20 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2018, this paper uses interaction fixed effect (FE) model to test the effect of temperature on the EV adoption and explains the causes of regional differences in EV adoption. The study has the following findings. Firstly, EV sales show an inverted U-shaped trend with the change of temperature. Secondly, compared to extreme high temperature, extreme low temperature has a greater negative impact on the EV adoption. Thirdly, the negative impact of extreme temperature on battery electric vehicles (BEVs) is greater than that of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs). Finally, temperature will make consumers' behavior adaptive by affecting their expectations. These findings can provide policy makers, department of urban planning and building, EV technology and quality inspection department, non-governmental organizations, and EV manufacturer, aiming at accelerating the market proliferation of EVs, with theoretical basis and targeted insights.