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土耳其国内收入不平等与生态足迹间的时变因果关系。

Time-varying causality between income inequality and ecological footprint in Turkey.

机构信息

Faculty of Political Sciences, Department of Economics, Sakarya University, Sakarya, Turkey.

Ünye Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, Ordu University, Ordu, Turkey.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jan;30(5):11785-11797. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-22910-3. Epub 2022 Sep 13.

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between income inequality and environmental degradation for the case of Turkey between 1987 and 2017 through the bootstrap causality method that changes over time. The study used the GINI coefficient to denote income inequality and ecological footprint (EFP) to represent environmental degradation. According to the analysis results, a causal relationship has been determined for Turkey from GINI to EFP between 2002 and 2015 and from EFP to GINI between 2002 and 2008. Thanks to the method used in the analysis, it was concluded that GINI-affected EFP positively between 2002 and 2005 and negatively between 2006 and 2015. Between 2002 and 2005, Turkey endured a difficult period of restructuring after two major banking crises in 1999 and 2001. The rapid development, especially in industry and urbanization, caused environmental degradation in this period. Between 2006 and 2015, the central dynamic of Turkey's growth trend was the finance sector, and rapid privatizations were realized. Nevertheless, the income justice improvement in this period negatively impacted the environment due to consumption and production habits. Policymakers should evaluate Turkey in its economic reality and produce policies accordingly. Environmental awareness should be increased in the production and consumption activities of all segments of society, benefiting from the developments in income distribution. The ecological impact of the income redistribution policy, along with its market and social consequences, needs to be evaluated.

摘要

本文通过时变的自举因果检验方法,考察了 1987 年至 2017 年期间土耳其的收入不平等与环境恶化之间的关系。研究使用基尼系数表示收入不平等,生态足迹(EFP)表示环境恶化。根据分析结果,确定了土耳其在 2002 年至 2015 年期间基尼系数对生态足迹存在因果关系,以及 2002 年至 2008 年期间生态足迹对基尼系数存在因果关系。由于分析中使用的方法,得出的结论是,2002 年至 2005 年期间,基尼系数对生态足迹的影响为正,而 2006 年至 2015 年期间则为负。在 2002 年至 2005 年期间,土耳其在 1999 年和 2001 年两次重大银行业危机后经历了一段艰难的重组时期。快速发展,特别是工业和城市化的发展,导致了这一时期的环境恶化。在 2006 年至 2015 年期间,土耳其增长趋势的核心动力是金融部门,实现了快速私有化。然而,在这一时期,由于消费和生产习惯,收入公平改善对环境产生了负面影响。政策制定者应该根据土耳其的经济实际情况进行评估,并制定相应的政策。应该在社会各阶层的生产和消费活动中提高环境意识,从收入分配的发展中受益。需要评估收入再分配政策的生态影响及其市场和社会后果。

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