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出口驱动型国家的碳排放与增值:以越南为例。

Carbon emissions versus value-added in export-driven countries: case of Vietnam.

作者信息

Nguyen Phuong Thao

机构信息

Graduate School of Global Governance, Meiji University, Tokyo, Japan.

National Center for Socio-Economic Information and Forecast, Ministry of Planning and Investment Vietnam, Hanoi, Vietnam.

出版信息

J Econ Struct. 2022;11(1):12. doi: 10.1186/s40008-022-00272-w. Epub 2022 Sep 8.

Abstract

Manufacturing for export is gradually becoming the main pillar of economic growth in many developing countries, including Vietnam. Since 1986, Vietnam has adopted an open economic policy and promoted trade activities. Therefore, Vietnam's exports have significantly increased and contributed to economic development. The benefits of exports are undeniable, but Vietnam also faces serious environmental problems caused by these activities. This paper analyzes the impact of Vietnam's export activities on economics and the environment through comparison between carbon emissions and value-added embodied in exports using an input-output model, then provides some recommendations to adjust Vietnam's export strategy in the future. The main findings indicate that carbon dioxide emissions (CO) embodied in exports have increased from 2006 to 2015. The carbon intensity of exports increases, while the value-added intensity decreases. As compared with production for the domestic market, production for domestic demand creates faster value-added and slower carbon emissions than production for exports. This study suggests that Vietnam should reform its export structure alongside technological improvements and other policy adjustments to curb Vietnam's growing CO emissions.

摘要

出口制造业正逐渐成为包括越南在内的许多发展中国家经济增长的主要支柱。自1986年以来,越南实行了开放的经济政策并促进贸易活动。因此,越南的出口显著增加并推动了经济发展。出口的好处不可否认,但越南也面临着由这些活动导致的严重环境问题。本文通过使用投入产出模型比较出口中体现的碳排放和附加值,分析了越南出口活动对经济和环境的影响,然后提出了一些未来调整越南出口战略的建议。主要研究结果表明,2006年至2015年期间,出口中体现的二氧化碳排放量有所增加。出口的碳强度增加,而附加值强度下降。与国内市场生产相比,国内需求生产创造附加值的速度更快,碳排放速度比出口生产更慢。本研究表明,越南应在技术改进和其他政策调整的同时改革其出口结构,以遏制越南不断增长的二氧化碳排放。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8f32/9453726/0965c65fd224/40008_2022_272_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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