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基于逻辑回归和人工神经网络的年龄、性别和体重指数预测阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停的简单模型。

Logistic regression and artificial neural network-based simple predicting models for obstructive sleep apnea by age, sex, and body mass index.

机构信息

Sleep Center, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.

Department of Neurology, Shuang Ho Hospital, Taipei Medical University, New Taipei City, Taiwan.

出版信息

Math Biosci Eng. 2022 Aug 10;19(11):11409-11421. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2022532.

Abstract

Age, sex, and body mass index (BMI) were associated with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). Although various methods have been used in OSA prediction, this study aimed to develop predictions using simple and general predictors incorporating machine learning algorithms. This single-center, retrospective observational study assessed the diagnostic relevance of age, sex, and BMI for OSA in a cohort of 9, 422 patients who had undergone polysomnography (PSG) between 2015 and 2020. The participants were randomly divided into training, testing, and independent validation groups. Multivariable logistic regression (LR) and artificial neural network (ANN) algorithms used age, sex, and BMI as predictors to develop risk-predicting models for moderate-and-severe OSA. The training-testing dataset was used to assess the model generalizability through five-fold cross-validation. We calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of the independent validation set to assess the performance of the model. The results showed that age, sex, and BMI were significantly associated with OSA. The validation AUCs of the generated LR and ANN models were 0.806 and 0.807, respectively. The independent validation set's accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were 76.3%, 87.5%, 57.0%, 77.7%, and 72.7% for the LR model, and 76.4%, 87.7%, 56.9%, 77.7%, and 73.0% respectively, for the ANN model. The LR- and ANN-boosted models with the three simple parameters effectively predicted OSA in patients referred for PSG examination and improved insight into risk stratification for OSA diagnosis.

摘要

年龄、性别和体重指数(BMI)与阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停(OSA)相关。尽管已经使用了各种方法来预测 OSA,但本研究旨在使用包含机器学习算法的简单且通用的预测因子来开发预测。这项单中心、回顾性观察性研究评估了年龄、性别和 BMI 对 2015 年至 2020 年间接受多导睡眠图(PSG)检查的 9422 例患者中 OSA 的诊断相关性。参与者被随机分为训练组、测试组和独立验证组。多变量逻辑回归(LR)和人工神经网络(ANN)算法将年龄、性别和 BMI 用作预测因子,以开发用于预测中重度 OSA 的风险预测模型。使用五重交叉验证评估训练-测试数据集的模型泛化能力。我们计算了独立验证集的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)、准确性、敏感度、特异性、阳性预测值(PPV)和阴性预测值(NPV),以评估模型的性能。结果表明,年龄、性别和 BMI 与 OSA 显著相关。生成的 LR 和 ANN 模型的验证 AUC 分别为 0.806 和 0.807。LR 模型独立验证集的准确性、敏感度、特异性、PPV 和 NPV 分别为 76.3%、87.5%、57.0%、77.7%和 72.7%,ANN 模型分别为 76.4%、87.7%、56.9%、77.7%和 73.0%。具有三个简单参数的 LR 和 ANN 增强模型可以有效地预测接受 PSG 检查的患者的 OSA,并提高对 OSA 诊断风险分层的认识。

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