Mokoena Kwena, Molabe Kagisho Madikadike, Sekgota Mmakosha Cynthia, Tyasi Thobela Louis
Department of Agricultural Economics and Animal Production, University of Limpopo, Private Bag X1106, Sovenga 0727, South Africa.
Vet World. 2022 Jul;15(7):1719-1726. doi: 10.14202/vetworld.2022.1719-1726. Epub 2022 Jul 21.
The Kalahari Red goat breed is the finest meat-producing species in South Africa, and its coat color ranges from light to dark red-brown. A practical approach to estimating their body weight (BW) using linear body measurements is still scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the best data mining technique among classification and regression trees (CART), Chi-square automatic interaction detection (CHAID), and exhaustive CHAID (Ex-CHAID) for predicting the BW of Kalahari Red goats.
This study included 50 Kalahari Red goats (does = 42 and bucks = 8) aged 3-5 years. Body length (BL), heart girth (HG), rump height (RH), height at withers (WH), sex, and age were the essential indicators to estimate BW. The best model was chosen based on the goodness of fit, such as adjusted coefficient of determination (Adj. R), coefficient of determination (R), root mean square error (RMSE), standard deviation ratio (SD ratio), mean absolute percentage error, Akaike information criteria, relative approximation error, and coefficient of variation.
The SD values of the ratio ranged from 0.32 (CART) to 0.40 (Ex-CHAID). The greatest R (%) was established for CART (89.23), followed by CHAID (81.99), and the lowest was established for Ex-CHAID (81.70). CART was established as the preferred algorithm with BL, HG, and WH as critical predictors. The heaviest BW (73.50 kg) was established in four goats with BL higher than 92.5 cm.
This study reveals that CART is the optimum model with BL, HG, and WH as the essential linear body measurements for estimating BW for Kalahari Red goats. The updated records will assist the rural farmers in making precise judgments for various objectives, such as marketing, breeding, feeding, and veterinary services in remote areas where weighing scales are unavailable.
喀拉哈里红山羊品种是南非优良的肉用品种,其毛色从浅红棕色到深红棕色不等。利用线性体尺测量来估算其体重(BW)的实用方法仍然匮乏。因此,本研究旨在确定分类与回归树(CART)、卡方自动交互检测(CHAID)和穷举CHAID(Ex-CHAID)这几种数据挖掘技术中预测喀拉哈里红山羊体重的最佳技术。
本研究纳入了50只3至5岁的喀拉哈里红山羊(母羊42只,公羊8只)。体长(BL)、胸围(HG)、臀高(RH)、肩高(WH)、性别和年龄是估算体重的重要指标。根据拟合优度选择最佳模型,如调整决定系数(Adj. R)、决定系数(R)、均方根误差(RMSE)、标准差比(SD比)、平均绝对百分比误差、赤池信息准则、相对近似误差和变异系数。
该比值的标准差(SD)值范围为0.32(CART)至0.40(Ex-CHAID)。CART的决定系数R(%)最高(89.23),其次是CHAID(81.99),Ex-CHAID最低(81.70)。CART被确定为首选算法,其中BL、HG和WH为关键预测因子。四只体长高于92.5厘米的山羊体重最重(73.50千克)。
本研究表明,CART是最佳模型,其中BL、HG和WH是估算喀拉哈里红山羊体重的重要线性体尺测量指标。更新后的记录将帮助农村养殖户在没有秤的偏远地区,针对销售、繁殖、饲养和兽医服务等各种目标做出准确判断。