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基于树的回归树方法在预测南非饲养的海兰银羽商用层和本土波彻夫斯特鲁姆考科克品种的形态特征与活体体重的比较。

Comparison of tree-based regression tree methods for predicting live body weight from morphological traits in Hy-line silver brown commercial layer and indigenous Potchefstroom Koekoek breeds raised in South Africa.

机构信息

School of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences, Department of Agricultural Economics and Animal Production, University of Limpopo, Private Bag X1106, Sovenga, Limpopo, 0727, South Africa.

Department of Business Administration, Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Iğdır University, Iğdır, Turkey.

出版信息

Trop Anim Health Prod. 2020 Nov 17;53(1):7. doi: 10.1007/s11250-020-02443-y.

DOI:10.1007/s11250-020-02443-y
PMID:33205283
Abstract

In animal breeding, more considerable attention is drawn to reveal the relationship between live body weight and morphological traits in identifying breed and species standards. The aim of this study was to predict live body weight from morphological characteristics in the Hy-line silver brown commercial layer and indigenous Potchefstroom Koekoek breed, native to South African. In the prediction of live body weight, eleven morphological measurements, i.e., wing length, back length, beak length, shank length, shank circumference, chest circumference, wingspan, keel length, body girth, toe length, and body length, were taken. As tree-based regression tree methods, predictive performances of CART, CHAID, and exhaustive CHAID algorithms were measured for body weight prediction. Among those, CART was found to be the best decision tree algorithm that gave the highest predictive accuracy. CART visual results reflected that the heaviest body weight mean (2.000 kg) was obtained from the chickens with 10.250 cm < WL ≤ 10.500 cm. As a result, it could be suggested that the CART decision tree might help to determine breed standards of the Hy-line silver brown commercial layer and, especially, indigenous Potchefstroom Koekoek breeds for breeding programs.

摘要

在动物育种中,人们更加关注揭示活体体重与形态特征之间的关系,以确定品种和物种标准。本研究旨在通过南非本土的 Hy-line 银棕色商品层和本土的 Potchefstroom Koekoek 品种的形态特征来预测活体体重。在预测活体体重时,共测量了 11 项形态特征,包括翼长、背长、喙长、胫长、胫围、胸围、翼展、龙骨长、体围、趾长和体长。使用基于树的回归树方法,评估了 CART、CHAID 和穷尽 CHAID 算法在体重预测方面的表现。结果表明,CART 是最佳的决策树算法,具有最高的预测准确性。CART 的可视化结果表明,WL 在 10.250 cm 到 10.500 cm 之间的鸡的平均体重最重(2.000 公斤)。因此,可以认为 CART 决策树有助于确定 Hy-line 银棕色商品层和 Potchefstroom Koekoek 品种的品种标准,特别是在育种计划中。

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