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一种纳入买家准备情况不确定性的孟加拉国房地产商业定价模型:新冠疫情期间的考量因素

A pricing model for real-estate business in Bangladesh incorporating the uncertainty in buyer's readiness: considerations during COVID-19 pandemic.

作者信息

Hasan Kazi Wahadul, Hanif Maliha Binte

机构信息

Department of Industrial and Production Engineering, Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology, Dhaka, 1000 Bangladesh.

Department of Business and Technology Management, Islamic University of Technology, Gazipur, Bangladesh.

出版信息

SN Bus Econ. 2022;2(10):154. doi: 10.1007/s43546-022-00330-2. Epub 2022 Sep 26.

Abstract

The real-estate business is considered one of the significant contributors to the economy of Bangladesh. However, the sudden occurrence of the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbates the housing business and the owners have been struggling to sell their apartment units. The instability of the income pattern of the customers and dwindling competitions among the real-estate business marketers during and after the COVID-19 pandemic necessitate revising the sales plan of the rental units. This research aims to develop a three-stage optimal selling model considering two random factors that the sellers face exclusively during the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of units sold in each stage is influenced by two random variables: (i) the time span between the initial stage and the final stage and (ii) the income-level inconsistency. This study highlights the randomness of these two factors with the aid of gamma distribution and optimizes the pricing model for three different stages. The findings of this research are illustrated with both numerical and graphical representations considering two different scenarios named identical and independent strategies of pricing. A comparative analysis has been conducted for these two strategies which would help the management to switch decisions depending on the market volatility. The results indicate that sellers can maximize their revenues by selling most of the units at the initial stage; however, sales in the second and third stages are also significant, depending upon the readiness of buyers.

摘要

房地产业被认为是孟加拉国经济的重要贡献者之一。然而,新冠疫情的突然爆发加剧了住房业务的困境,业主们一直在努力出售他们的公寓单元。新冠疫情期间及之后,客户收入模式的不稳定以及房地产市场营销商之间竞争的减少,使得有必要修订出租单元的销售计划。本研究旨在建立一个三阶段最优销售模型,该模型考虑了卖家在新冠疫情期间独有的两个随机因素。每个阶段售出的单元数量受两个随机变量影响:(i)初始阶段和最终阶段之间的时间跨度;(ii)收入水平的不一致性。本研究借助伽马分布突出了这两个因素的随机性,并优化了三个不同阶段的定价模型。本研究结果通过数值和图形表示进行说明,考虑了两种不同的定价策略,即相同策略和独立策略。针对这两种策略进行了比较分析,这将有助于管理层根据市场波动做出决策。结果表明,卖家可以通过在初始阶段出售大部分单元来实现收入最大化;然而,第二阶段和第三阶段的销售也很可观,这取决于买家的意愿。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bb27/9510762/c4a1bf2ecb26/43546_2022_330_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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