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分布因果效应:超越干预效应的“平均主义”观点。

Distributional causal effects: Beyond an "averagarian" view of intervention effects.

作者信息

Wiedermann Wolfgang, Zhang Bixi, Reinke Wendy, Herman Keith C, von Eye Alexander

机构信息

Department of Educational, School, and Counseling Psychology, University of Missouri.

Missouri Prevention Science Institute, University of Missouri.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2024 Dec;29(6):1046-1061. doi: 10.1037/met0000533. Epub 2022 Oct 6.

Abstract

The usefulness of mean aggregates in the analysis of intervention effectiveness is a matter of considerable debate in the psychological, educational, and social sciences. In addition to studying "average treatment effects," the evaluation of "distributional treatment effects," (i.e., effects that go beyond means), has been suggested to obtain a broader picture of how an intervention affects the study outcome. We continue this discussion by considering distributional causal effects. We present formal definitions of causal effects that go beyond means and utilize a distributional regression framework known as generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS). GAMLSS allows one to characterize an intervention effect in its totality through simultaneously modeling means, variances, skewnesses, kurtoses, as well as ceiling and floor effects of outcome distributions. Based on data from a large-scale randomized controlled trial, we use GAMLSS to evaluate the impact of a teacher classroom management program on student academic performance. Results suggest the teacher classroom management training increased mean academic competence as well as the chance to obtain the maximum score on the academic competence scale. These effects would have been completely overlooked in a traditional evaluation of mean aggregates. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

摘要

均值汇总在干预效果分析中的有用性在心理学、教育学和社会科学领域是一个备受争议的问题。除了研究“平均治疗效果”之外,有人建议评估“分布治疗效果”(即超出均值的效果),以便更全面地了解干预如何影响研究结果。我们通过考虑分布因果效应来继续这一讨论。我们给出了超出均值的因果效应的正式定义,并使用一种称为位置、尺度和形状的广义加性模型(GAMLSS)的分布回归框架。GAMLSS允许通过同时对均值、方差、偏度、峰度以及结果分布的上限和下限效应进行建模,来全面描述干预效果。基于一项大规模随机对照试验的数据,我们使用GAMLSS来评估教师课堂管理计划对学生学业成绩的影响。结果表明,教师课堂管理培训提高了平均学业能力以及在学业能力量表上获得最高分的机会。在传统的均值汇总评估中,这些效果可能会被完全忽略。(PsycInfo数据库记录(c)2024美国心理学会,保留所有权利)

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