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辉瑞和 BioNTech 疫苗公告的赢家和输家:来自标准普尔 500(子)行业指数的证据。

Winners and losers from Pfizer and Biontech's vaccine announcement: Evidence from S&P 500 (Sub)sector indices.

机构信息

American University in Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

Canadian University Dubai, Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2022 Oct 14;17(10):e0275773. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0275773. eCollection 2022.

DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0275773
PMID:36240218
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9565377/
Abstract

This study explores how the US stock market reacted to the news of a successful development of vaccine by Pfizer and Biontech on November 9, 2020. In particular, the study analyses the effect of the vaccine announcement on 11 sector indices and 79 subsector indices. A key contribution of the present study is to provide a deeper subsector level of analysis lacking in existing literature. An event study approach is applied in identifying abnormal returns due to the November 9th vaccine announcement. Several event periods (-1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 0-1, 0-3) are analysed to provide a more complete picture of the effects. Based on analysis, it is established that there are considerable inter and intra sectoral variations in the impact of the vaccine news. The results show that the impact follows a clear pattern. The sectors that were hit hardest by the pandemic such as energy, financials, as well as subsectors like hotels and casinos, benefited the most from positive vaccine news. Subsectors that gained from the pandemic such as airfreight, household appliances and computers and electronics retail were depressed the most by the news. These findings suggest that while the availability of vaccines is expected to help steer economies gradually to normalcy, the re-adjustment is likely to be asymmetric across subsectors. While some subsectors expect to expand as these industries recover from the contraction inflicted by the COVID-19 environment, other subsectors expect adjustment losses as these industries shed off the above average gains driven by the COVID-19 environment.

摘要

这项研究探讨了美国股市如何对辉瑞(Pfizer)和生物技术公司(Biontech)于 2020 年 11 月 9 日成功研发疫苗的消息做出反应。具体来说,该研究分析了疫苗公告对 11 个板块指数和 79 个细分板块指数的影响。本研究的一个主要贡献是提供了现有文献中缺乏的更深层次的细分板块分析。采用事件研究法来识别因 11 月 9 日疫苗公告而产生的异常回报。分析了几个事件期(-1、0、1、2、3、0-1、0-3),以更全面地了解影响。基于分析结果,可以确定疫苗消息的影响在各板块和板块内存在较大差异。结果表明,影响呈现出明显的模式。受疫情冲击最大的板块,如能源、金融,以及酒店和赌场等细分板块,从疫苗的正面消息中受益最大。受益于疫情的细分板块,如空运、家电和电脑及电子产品零售,受疫苗消息的影响最大。这些发现表明,虽然疫苗的推出有望帮助经济逐步恢复正常,但调整可能在各细分板块之间不对称。虽然一些细分板块预计会随着这些行业从 COVID-19 环境造成的收缩中复苏而扩大,但其他细分板块预计会因这些行业放弃 COVID-19 环境带来的高于平均水平的收益而出现调整损失。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c92/9565377/fd2d77ae3249/pone.0275773.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c92/9565377/fd2d77ae3249/pone.0275773.g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1c92/9565377/fd2d77ae3249/pone.0275773.g001.jpg

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