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国际税收情绪与新冠疫情危机

International taxation sentiment and COVID-19 crisis.

作者信息

Bai Chenjiang, Duan Yuejiao, Liu Congya, Qiu Leiju

机构信息

School of Finance, Nankai University, 38 Tongyan Road, Jinnan District, Tianjin 300350, PR China.

China Center for Internet Economy Research, Central University of Finance and Economics, 39 South College Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, PR China.

出版信息

Res Int Bus Finance. 2022 Dec;63:101783. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101783. Epub 2022 Oct 7.

DOI:10.1016/j.ribaf.2022.101783
PMID:36250041
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9540686/
Abstract

Investigating public sentiment regarding tax policy during the COVID-19 pandemic could be useful for understanding the experiences across societies. Using Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count to investigate and quantitatively measure the pandemic's effect-from January 25 to April 9, 2020-on the sentiment regarding possible tax policies throughout the world, thereby determining that, overall, taxation sentiment is reduced as the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases grows. Further investigation reveals that, as COVID-19 spreads, the sentiment for raising taxes decreases and that for reducing taxes increases, and this effect is mitigated by countries' democracy. We further find that news sentiment in unofficial media and in countries with low social trust is more significantly affected by COVID-19. Robustness tests performed using different subsamples of developed and developing countries and different pandemic circumstances validate our findings. This research has crucial implications for policy evaluation and development.

摘要

调查新冠疫情期间公众对税收政策的看法,有助于了解不同社会的经历。利用语言查询与字数统计方法,对2020年1月25日至4月9日期间疫情对全球可能税收政策看法的影响进行调查和定量测量,从而确定总体上随着新冠确诊病例数增加,税收情绪降低。进一步调查发现,随着新冠疫情蔓延,增税情绪下降,减税情绪上升,且这种影响因国家的民主程度而减轻。我们还发现,非官方媒体以及社会信任度较低国家的新闻情绪受新冠疫情影响更为显著。使用发达国家和发展中国家的不同子样本以及不同疫情情况进行的稳健性检验证实了我们的研究结果。本研究对政策评估与制定具有关键意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4006/9540686/7862feceb7b5/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4006/9540686/b3113070aff5/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4006/9540686/7862feceb7b5/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4006/9540686/b3113070aff5/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4006/9540686/7862feceb7b5/gr2_lrg.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
The contagion effects of the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from gold and cryptocurrencies.新冠疫情的传染效应:来自黄金和加密货币的证据。
Financ Res Lett. 2020 Jul;35:101554. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101554. Epub 2020 May 14.
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COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market, geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty nexus in the US economy: Fresh evidence from the wavelet-based approach.美国经济中新冠疫情、油价、股市、地缘政治风险与政策不确定性之间的联系:基于小波方法的新证据
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Disease and democracy: Political regimes and countries responsiveness to COVID-19.
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Trust and stock market volatility during the COVID-19 crisis.新冠疫情危机期间的信任与股市波动
Financ Res Lett. 2021 Jan;38:101873. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2020.101873. Epub 2020 Dec 1.
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Co-movement of COVID-19 and Bitcoin: Evidence from wavelet coherence analysis.新冠疫情与比特币的共同变动:来自小波相干分析的证据。
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Political institutions and policy responses during a crisis.危机期间的政治制度与政策应对措施。
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7
COVID-19 Sentiment and the Chinese Stock Market: Evidence from the Official News Media and .新冠疫情情绪与中国股票市场:来自官方新闻媒体的证据及…… (原文结尾不完整)
Res Int Bus Finance. 2021 Dec;58:101432. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2021.101432. Epub 2021 Jun 2.
8
What motivates non-democratic leadership: Evidence from COVID-19 reopenings in China.非民主领导的动机是什么:来自中国新冠疫情解封的证据。
J Public Econ. 2021 Apr;196:104389. doi: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104389. Epub 2021 Mar 18.
9
The dark side of globalization: Evidence from the impact of COVID-19 on multinational companies.全球化的阴暗面:来自新冠疫情对跨国公司影响的证据
J Int Bus Stud. 2022;53(8):1603-1640. doi: 10.1057/s41267-022-00540-8. Epub 2022 Sep 6.
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Corporate immunity to the COVID-19 pandemic.企业对新冠疫情的豁免权。
J financ econ. 2021 Aug;141(2):802-830. doi: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.03.005. Epub 2021 Mar 7.