Institute of Occupational Health and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu, China.
Indoor Air. 2022 Oct;32(10):e13120. doi: 10.1111/ina.13120.
This study aimed to explore the spatial and temporal trends of lung cancer burden attributable to residential radon exposure at the global, regional, and national levels. Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, we collected the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life rate (ASDR) of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure from 1990 to 2019. The Joinpoint model was used to calculate the annual average percentage change (AAPC) to evaluate the trend of ASMR and ASDR from 1990 to 2019. The locally weighted regression (LOESS) was used to estimate the relationship of the socio-demographic index (SDI) with ASMR and ASDR. In 2019, the global ASMR and ASDR for lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure were 1.03 (95% CI: 0.20, 2.00) and 22.66 (95% CI: 4.49, 43.94) per 100 000 population, which were 15.6% and 23.0% lower than in 1990, respectively. According to the estimation, we found the lung cancer burden attributable to residential radon exposure declined significantly in high and high-middle SDI regions, but substantially increased in middle and low-middle SDI regions from 1990 to 2019. Across age and sex, the highest burden of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure was found in males and elderly groups. In conclusion, the global burden of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure showed a declining trend from 1990 to 2019, but a relatively large increase was found in the middle SDI regions. In 2019, the burden of lung cancer attributable to residential radon exposure remained high, particularly in males, the elderly, and high-middle SDI regions compared with other groups.
本研究旨在探讨全球、区域和国家层面住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌负担的时空趋势。基于全球疾病负担研究(GBD)2019 年的数据,我们收集了 1990 年至 2019 年住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌的年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)和年龄标准化残疾调整生命年率(ASDR)。采用 Joinpoint 模型计算年度平均百分比变化(AAPC),以评估 1990 年至 2019 年 ASMR 和 ASDR 的趋势。采用局部加权回归(LOESS)估计社会人口指数(SDI)与 ASMR 和 ASDR 的关系。2019 年,全球住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌的 ASMR 和 ASDR 分别为 1.03(95%CI:0.20,2.00)和 22.66(95%CI:4.49,43.94)/100000 人,分别比 1990 年降低了 15.6%和 23.0%。根据估计,我们发现,高和高中等 SDI 地区住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌负担显著下降,而中低和低中等 SDI 地区则从 1990 年到 2019 年大幅增加。在所有年龄和性别组中,男性和老年人群的住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌负担最高。总之,1990 年至 2019 年,全球住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌负担呈下降趋势,但中 SDI 地区的负担相对增加。2019 年,住宅氡暴露导致的肺癌负担仍然较高,特别是在男性、老年人和高中等 SDI 地区,与其他人群相比。