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设计新冠疫情期间疫苗供应链的优化模型。

Designing an optimization model for the vaccine supply chain during the COVID-19 pandemic.

作者信息

Valizadeh Jaber, Boloukifar Shadi, Soltani Sepehr, Jabalbarezi Hookerd Ehsan, Fouladi Farzaneh, Andreevna Rushchtc Anastasia, Du Bo, Shen Jun

机构信息

Department of Management, Saveh Branch, Islamic Azad University, Saveh, Iran.

Industrial Engineering Department, Eastern Mediterranean University, Famagusta, North Cyprus, Cyprus.

出版信息

Expert Syst Appl. 2023 Mar 15;214:119009. doi: 10.1016/j.eswa.2022.119009. Epub 2022 Oct 26.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected people's lives worldwide. Among various strategies being applied to addressing such a global crisis, public vaccination has been arguably the most appropriate approach to control a pandemic. However, vaccine supply chain and management have become a new challenge for governments. In this study, a solution for the vaccine supply chain is presented to address the hurdles in the public vaccination program according to the concerns of the government and the organizations involved. For this purpose, a robust bi-level optimization model is proposed. At the upper level, the risk of mortality due to the untimely supply of the vaccine and the risk of inequality in the distribution of the vaccine is considered. All costs related to the vaccine supply chain are considered at the lower level, including the vaccine supply, allocation of candidate centers for vaccine injection, cost of maintenance and injection, transportation cost, and penalty cost due to the vaccine shortage. In addition, the uncertainty of demand for vaccines is considered with multiple scenarios of different demand levels. Numerical experiments are conducted based on the vaccine supply chain in Kermanshah, Iran, and the results show that the proposed model significantly reduces the risk of mortality and inequality in the distribution of vaccines as well as the total cost, which leads to managerial insights for better coordination of the vaccination network during the COVID-19 pandemic

摘要

新冠疫情已影响到全球人民的生活。在应对这一全球危机所采用的各种策略中,全民接种疫苗可谓是控制疫情的最恰当方式。然而,疫苗供应链及管理已成为各国政府面临的新挑战。在本研究中,根据政府及相关组织的关切,提出了一种疫苗供应链解决方案,以应对全民疫苗接种计划中的障碍。为此,提出了一个稳健的双层优化模型。在上层,考虑了因疫苗供应不及时导致的死亡风险以及疫苗分配不均的风险。在下层,考虑了与疫苗供应链相关的所有成本,包括疫苗供应、疫苗注射候选中心的分配、维护和注射成本、运输成本以及因疫苗短缺产生的惩罚成本。此外,通过不同需求水平的多种情景考虑了疫苗需求的不确定性。基于伊朗克尔曼沙阿的疫苗供应链进行了数值实验,结果表明,所提出的模型显著降低了疫苗分配中的死亡风险和不平等性以及总成本,这为新冠疫情期间更好地协调疫苗接种网络提供了管理见解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/58d1/9598262/36b663010dd9/gr1_lrg.jpg

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