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2021年在匈牙利采用筛查方法对六种新冠疫苗预防实验室确诊新冠病毒感染有效性的实时监测

Real-Time Monitoring of the Effectiveness of Six COVID-19 Vaccines against Laboratory-Confirmed COVID-19 in Hungary in 2021 Using the Screening Method.

作者信息

Horváth Judit K, Ferenci Tamás, Ferenczi Annamária, Túri Gergő, Röst Gergely, Oroszi Beatrix

机构信息

Epidemiology and Surveillance Centre, Semmelweis University, 1085 Budapest, Hungary.

Mathematical Modelling and Epidemiology Task Force, 1085 Budapest, Hungary.

出版信息

Vaccines (Basel). 2022 Oct 29;10(11):1824. doi: 10.3390/vaccines10111824.

Abstract

Several studies have reported the waning effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines. This study aims to demonstrate the applicability of the screening method for estimating vaccine effectiveness (VE) in a pandemic. We report VE in Hungary, estimated with the screening method, in 2021, covering a period of Alpha and the Delta variant, including the booster dose roll-out. Hungary is in a unique position to use six different vaccines in the same population. All vaccines provided a high level of protection initially, which declined over time. While the picture is different in each age group, the waning of immunity is apparent for all vaccines, especially in the younger age groups and the Sinopharm, Sputnik-V, and AstraZeneca vaccines, which performed similarly. This is clearly reversed by booster doses, more prominent for those three vaccines, where the decline in protection is more evident. Overall, two vaccines, Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna, tend to produce the best results in all age groups, even with waning immunity considered. Using the screening method in future pandemic waves is worthwhile, especially in countries struggling with a lack of resources or when there is a need to deliver VE results within a short timeframe due to urgent decision-making.

摘要

多项研究报告了新冠疫苗效力的减弱。本研究旨在证明筛查方法在大流行期间评估疫苗效力(VE)的适用性。我们报告了2021年在匈牙利用筛查方法估算的疫苗效力,涵盖了阿尔法和德尔塔变种流行时期,包括加强针的推出。匈牙利处于一个独特的位置,同一人群中使用六种不同的疫苗。所有疫苗最初都提供了高水平的保护,但随着时间的推移而下降。虽然每个年龄组的情况有所不同,但所有疫苗的免疫力减弱都很明显,尤其是在较年轻的年龄组以及国药集团、卫星-V和阿斯利康疫苗中,它们的表现相似。加强针明显扭转了这种情况,对这三种疫苗更为显著,其保护作用的下降更为明显。总体而言,辉瑞/ BioNTech和莫德纳这两种疫苗在所有年龄组中往往都能产生最佳效果,即使考虑到免疫力减弱的情况。在未来的疫情浪潮中使用筛查方法是值得的,特别是在资源匮乏的国家,或者由于紧急决策需要在短时间内得出疫苗效力结果的情况下。

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