Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Thoracic Medicine, Adult Cystic Fibrosis Centre, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Sci Rep. 2022 Nov 17;12(1):19748. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-24374-4.
Survival statistics, estimated using data from national cystic fibrosis (CF) registries, inform the CF community and monitor disease progression. This study aimed to estimate survival among people with CF in Australia and to identify factors associated with survival. This population-based cohort study used prospectively collected data from 23 Australian CF centres participating in the Australian CF Data Registry (ACFDR) from 2005-2020. Period survival analysis was used to calculate median age of survival estimates for each 5-year window from 2005-2009 until 2016-2020. The overall median survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Between 2005-2020 the ACFDR followed 4,601 people with CF, noting 516 (11.2%) deaths including 195 following lung transplantation. Out of the total sample, more than half (52.5%) were male and 395 (8.6%) had undergone lung transplantation. Two thirds of people with CF (66.1%) were diagnosed before six weeks of age or by newborn/prenatal screening. The overall median age of survival was estimated as 54.0 years (95% CI: 51.0-57.04). Estimated median survival increased from 48.9 years (95% CI: 44.7-53.5) for people with CF born in 2005-2009, to 56.3 years (95% CI: 51.2-60.4) for those born in 2016-2020. Factors independently associated with reduced survival include receiving a lung transplant, having low FEVpp and BMI. Median survival estimates are increasing in CF in Australia. This likely reflects multiple factors, including newborn screening, improvement in diagnosis, refinements in CF management and centre-based multidisciplinary care.
生存统计数据,使用国家囊性纤维化 (CF) 登记处的数据进行估计,为 CF 社区提供信息并监测疾病进展。本研究旨在估计澳大利亚 CF 患者的生存率,并确定与生存率相关的因素。这项基于人群的队列研究使用了来自 23 个澳大利亚 CF 中心的数据,这些中心参与了澳大利亚 CF 数据登记处 (ACFDR),从 2005 年至 2020 年期间收集了前瞻性数据。使用期间生存分析来计算每个 5 年窗口(从 2005 年至 2009 年至 2016 年至 2020 年)的生存估计中位数年龄。使用 Kaplan-Meier 方法估计总体生存中位数。在 2005 年至 2020 年期间,ACFDR 监测了 4601 名 CF 患者,其中 516 人(11.2%)死亡,包括 195 人在肺移植后死亡。在总样本中,超过一半(52.5%)为男性,395 人(8.6%)接受了肺移植。超过一半的 CF 患者(66.1%)在六周之前或新生儿/产前筛查时被诊断。总体生存中位数估计为 54.0 岁(95%CI:51.0-57.04)。估计的中位生存时间从 2005 年至 2009 年出生的 CF 患者的 48.9 岁(95%CI:44.7-53.5)增加到 2016 年至 2020 年出生的 CF 患者的 56.3 岁(95%CI:51.2-60.4)。与生存时间缩短独立相关的因素包括接受肺移植、低 FEVpp 和 BMI。在澳大利亚,CF 的中位生存估计值正在增加。这可能反映了多种因素,包括新生儿筛查、诊断改善、CF 管理的改进以及基于中心的多学科护理。