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美国亚利桑那州1918年流感大流行期间的死产风险。

Stillbirth Risk during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic in Arizona, USA.

作者信息

Khare Smriti, Dahal Sushma, Luo Ruiyan, Rothenberg Richard, Mizumoto Kenji, Chowell Gerardo

机构信息

Department of Population Health Sciences, School of Public Health, Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA 30303, USA.

Graduate School of Advanced Integrated Studies in Human Survivability, Kyoto University Yoshida-Nakaadachi-cho, Sakyo-ku, Kyoto 606-8306, Japan.

出版信息

Epidemiologia (Basel). 2020 Nov 11;1(1):23-30. doi: 10.3390/epidemiologia1010005.

Abstract

The 1918 influenza pandemic, the deadliest pandemic on record, affected approximately 1/3rd of the population worldwide. The impact of this pandemic on stillbirth risk has not been studied in depth. In this study, we assessed the stillbirth risk during the 1918 influenza pandemic in Arizona, USA. We carried out a retrospective study using 21,334 birth records for Maricopa County, Arizona, for the period 1915-1925. We conducted logistic regression analyses to assess the effect of that pandemic on stillbirth risk. Though we did not find a statistically significant impact on stillbirth risk during the pandemic, there was a higher risk of stillbirth in July 1919 (42 stillbirths/1000 births), 9 months after the peak pandemic mortality, and a stillbirth risk of 1.42 (95% CI: 1.17, 1.72) in women ≥35 years compared to the women aged <35 years. The risk of stillbirth was lowest if the mother's age was approximately 26 years at the time of birth. We also report peaks in stillbirth risk 9-10 months after the peak pandemic mortality. Our findings add to our current understanding of the link between pandemic influenza and stillbirth risk.

摘要

1918年流感大流行是有记录以来最致命的大流行,影响了全球约三分之一的人口。此次大流行对死产风险的影响尚未得到深入研究。在本研究中,我们评估了美国亚利桑那州1918年流感大流行期间的死产风险。我们利用亚利桑那州马里科帕县1915年至1925年期间的21334份出生记录进行了一项回顾性研究。我们进行了逻辑回归分析,以评估那次大流行对死产风险的影响。尽管我们没有发现大流行期间对死产风险有统计学上的显著影响,但在1919年7月(大流行死亡率峰值9个月后)死产风险较高(每1000例出生中有42例死产),与年龄小于35岁的女性相比,35岁及以上女性的死产风险为1.42(95%可信区间:1.17, 1.72)。如果母亲在分娩时年龄约为26岁,死产风险最低。我们还报告了在大流行死亡率峰值9至10个月后死产风险出现峰值。我们的研究结果增进了我们目前对大流行性流感与死产风险之间联系的理解。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4633/9620897/e38f49377850/epidemiologia-01-00005-g001.jpg

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