Department of Economics, University of Lagos, Yaba 101017, Lagos State, Nigeria.
School of Economics & Finance, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710061, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Nov 8;19(22):14659. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192214659.
Are "economic bads" of infectious diseases and "economic goods" of foreign direct investment antagonistic to each other? This is the salient question that this research inquiry unravels for 34 African economies from 2000 to 2017. The empirical evidence revealed the following through a generalized method of moments (SGMM) inter alia: First, the mitigating roles of infectious diseases, such as malaria, HIV prevalence rate and AIDS, on global FDI inflows are unconditionally certified from a statistical and economic sense. Second, the diminishing influences of other confounders, such as low per capita GDP, shallow financial development, excruciating inflationary trend, and natural resource rents curse, are empirically endorsed, on the one hand, while the persistent nature of FDI and trade openness as boosting mechanisms for FDI are unambiguously applauded, on the other hand. Finally, a reduction in the numerical strength of the estimates after accounting for the outliers' effect from the models and the inclusion of additional controls do not diminish the robustness of already established findings, except for the HIV prevalence rate. On the policy front, if the foreign direct investment is truly pro-development outcomes, any policy interventions that eliminate infectious diseases will be Pareto-improving.
传染病的“经济之恶”和外国直接投资的“经济之善”是否相互对立?这是本研究试图为 2000 年至 2017 年的 34 个非洲经济体解开的关键问题。通过广义矩方法(SGMM)等方法的实证证据揭示了以下内容:首先,从统计和经济意义上讲,疟疾、艾滋病毒流行率和艾滋病等传染病对全球外国直接投资流入的缓解作用得到了无条件的证实。其次,一方面,其他混杂因素(如人均 GDP 低、金融发展程度浅、令人痛苦的通货膨胀趋势和自然资源租金诅咒)的影响在减弱,另一方面,外国直接投资和贸易开放作为促进外国直接投资的机制具有持续性,这一点得到了明确的认可。最后,在从模型中考虑异常值的影响并纳入其他控制变量之后,对估计值的数值强度进行减少并不会降低已经确立的发现的稳健性,除了艾滋病毒流行率之外。在政策方面,如果外国直接投资真正有利于发展成果,那么消除传染病的任何政策干预都将是帕累托改进。