School of Public Administration, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an 710055, China.
School of Public Policy and Administration, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Dec 6;19(23):16308. doi: 10.3390/ijerph192316308.
Rural migrant workers and their families will decide the future of China's urbanization. Using data from the "China Migrants Dynamic Survey and Hundreds of Villages Investigation" carried out in 2018, we examine whether and how family living arrangements and migration distances shape rural migrant workers' settlement intentions in urban areas. In general, rural migrant workers' settlement intention is shown to be weak. However, individuals with children are more likely to have a stronger intention to settle permanently in urban areas. Among geographical factors, geospatial distance exerts a negative influence on migrant parents' settlement intention when the interaction effect of family living arrangements and migration distances is considered. Migrant families are increasingly concentrated in cities near their hometowns with a low entry barrier that allows them to gain access to better amenities. Socio-economic factors, especially disposable income, human resources, and housing conditions, play significant roles in migrant parents' settlement intention. The age and hometown region of migrant parents are also closely related to their intentions to settle in urban areas. Potential channels for the management of urbanization policy are also explored.
农村流动人口及其家庭将决定中国城市化的未来。本文利用 2018 年开展的“中国流动人口动态监测调查和百村调查”数据，考察家庭居住安排和流动距离如何以及是否影响农村流动人口在城市的定居意愿。总体而言，农村流动人口的定居意愿较弱。但是，有子女的个体更有可能有强烈的在城市永久定居的意愿。在地理因素方面，考虑到家庭居住安排和流动距离的交互效应，地理空间距离对迁移父母定居意愿有负面影响。迁移家庭越来越集中在与家乡距离较近、进入门槛较低、能获得更好设施的城市。社会经济因素，特别是可支配收入、人力资源和住房条件，对迁移父母的定居意愿有重要影响。迁移父母的年龄和家乡地区也与他们在城市定居的意愿密切相关。还探讨了城市化政策管理的潜在渠道。
