Chen Kong-Pin, Yang Jui-Chung, Yang Tzu-Ting
Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan.
Department of Economics, National Taiwan University, Taiwan.
J Urban Econ. 2022 Jan;127:103426. doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2022.103426. Epub 2022 Jan 15.
Using traffic data from Taiwan for 2020, we quantify how the COVID-19 outbreak affected demand for public and private transportation. Despite there being no governmental restrictions, substantial shifts in travel modes were observed. During the peak of the pandemic in Taiwan within the study period (mid-March 2020), railway ridership declined by 40% to 60%, while highway traffic volume by 20%. Furthermore, railway ridership was well below pre-pandemic levels, though there were no locally transmitted cases in the eight-month period from mid-April to December. These changes in traffic patterns had implications for spatial patterns of economic activity: retail sales and nighttime luminosity data show that during the pandemic, economic activity shifted away from areas in the vicinity of major railway stations.
利用台湾2020年的交通数据,我们量化了新冠疫情爆发对公共交通和私人交通需求的影响。尽管没有政府限制措施,但仍观察到出行方式发生了显著变化。在研究期间台湾疫情高峰期(2020年3月中旬),铁路客流量下降了40%至60%,而公路交通量下降了20%。此外,尽管在4月中旬至12月的八个月期间没有本地传播病例,但铁路客流量仍远低于疫情前水平。这些交通模式的变化对经济活动的空间模式产生了影响:零售销售额和夜间亮度数据表明,疫情期间,经济活动从主要火车站附近地区转移。