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量化新冠疫情预防措施对卡塔尔国交通的影响。

Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 preventive measures on traffic in the State of Qatar.

作者信息

Muley Deepti, Ghanim Mohammad Shareef, Mohammad Anas, Kharbeche Mohamed

机构信息

Qatar Transportation and Traffic Safety Center, College of Engineering, Qatar University, P.O. Box 2713, Doha, Qatar.

Land Transport Planning Department, Ministry of Transport and Communications, Doha, Qatar.

出版信息

Transp Policy (Oxf). 2021 Mar;103:45-59. doi: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.01.018. Epub 2021 Feb 2.

Abstract

Ever since the beginning of 2020, the mobility of people and goods all over the world has been extremely limited as a result of movement restrictions imposed by local authorities as part of several other efforts to stop the wide spread of COVID-19 pandemic. The Supreme Committee for Crisis Management in the State of Qatar adopted the policy of incremental preventive measures that were adjusted based on the pandemic status. These actions involved several restrictions, aiming a balance between reducing the pandemic spread and the typical daily activities disturbance. This paper assesses the impact of pandemic response measures on traffic mobility by quantifying the holistic impact of the incremental measures at different stages on traffic volumes and traffic safety. Daily traffic counts from 24 intersections were collected every 15-min for several days, representing the traffic before and after implementing each preventive measure. Besides, a screenline was used to represent the traffic entering and leaving the Central Business District (CBD) in the City of Doha. The results show that the daily traffic demand distribution over the course of day was not affected by those preventive measures. However, an overall demand reduction of 30% in baseline traffic was observed for all studied intersections and the screenline when all preventive measures were active. Moreover, the analysis of traffic violations and the total crashes indicated a drop of 73% and 37% respectively. The results from this assessment will assist decision and policy makers, and planners to prioritize traffic management actions for future needs. Further, the findings can also be utilized for mega-event traffic management in the post-COVID era, such as FIFA World Cup 2022 and 2030 Asian Games.

摘要

自2020年初以来,由于地方当局实施流动限制,作为阻止新冠疫情大流行的其他几项努力的一部分,世界各地人员和货物的流动受到极大限制。卡塔尔国危机管理最高委员会采取了渐进式预防措施政策,并根据疫情状况进行调整。这些行动涉及多项限制措施,旨在在减少疫情传播和干扰日常活动之间取得平衡。本文通过量化不同阶段渐进式措施对交通流量和交通安全的整体影响,评估疫情应对措施对交通流动性的影响。在几天时间里,每隔15分钟收集24个十字路口的每日交通流量数据,代表实施每项预防措施前后的交通情况。此外,还使用一条筛查线来代表进出多哈市中央商务区(CBD)的交通情况。结果表明,一天中每日交通需求分布不受这些预防措施的影响。然而,当所有预防措施都实施时,所有研究的十字路口和筛查线的基线交通量总体下降了30%。此外,对交通违法行为和总事故的分析表明,分别下降了73%和37%。本次评估结果将有助于决策者、政策制定者和规划者根据未来需求确定交通管理行动的优先次序。此外,这些研究结果还可用于新冠疫情后时代的大型活动交通管理,如2022年国际足联世界杯和2030年亚运会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1365/9761787/a6086516de0b/gr1_lrg.jpg

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