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德国和卡塔尔国的交通影响:新冠疫情第一波期间的评估

Transport impacts in Germany and State of Qatar: An assessment during the first wave of COVID-19.

作者信息

Jaekel Birgit, Muley Deepti

机构信息

Technische Universität Dresden, "Friedrich List" Faculty of Transportation and Traffic Sciences, Institute of Traffic Telematics, Chair of Traffic Conrtrol and Process Automation, 01062 Dresden, Germany.

State of Qatar Transportation and Traffic Safety Center /, Department of Civil Engineering, Qatar University, P.O. Box 2713, Doha, Qatar.

出版信息

Transp Res Interdiscip Perspect. 2022 Mar;13:100540. doi: 10.1016/j.trip.2022.100540. Epub 2022 Jan 11.

Abstract

Response measures to contain COVID-19 spread varied from country to country, some imposed a complete lockdown while some imposed partial restrictions. This paper compares the transport impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic for two countries having dissimilar characteristics, Germany and State of Qatar, based on the rates of infection and response measures. Secondary data, obtained from Google mobility reports, and primary data, collected from local agencies, were used for comparison purposes. The secondary data comparison from February 2020 to July 2020 indicated an overall decline in mobility for all commercial activities and an increase was noted for parks and residential locations for Saxony, Germany. For State of Qatar, the mobility was decreased to all places except residential locations. Further, the comparison for traffic volumes and the number of crashes during the first wave of the pandemic indicated that the reduction in traffic volumes, major, and minor crashes was coupled with restrictive measures rather than COVID-19 incidences for both countries. Further, the traffic volumes showed a statistically significant inverse linear relationship with the stringency index for both countries during weekdays as well as weekends. These results suggest that the policy measures are key in governing movement restrictions and containing the spread of pandemic rather than the number of COVID-19 incidences. Further, the authorities should monitor the traffic trends during the pandemic and enforce the traffic rules and regulations as soon as the movement restrictions are lifted.

摘要

各国为遏制新冠疫情传播所采取的应对措施各不相同,一些国家实施了全面封锁,而一些国家则实施了部分限制措施。本文基于感染率和应对措施,比较了两个具有不同特征的国家——德国和卡塔尔国——新冠疫情对交通的影响。从谷歌移动报告中获取的二手数据以及从当地机构收集的一手数据被用于比较。2020年2月至2020年7月的二手数据比较表明,德国萨克森州所有商业活动的出行量总体下降,公园和居民区的出行量有所增加。对于卡塔尔国,除居民区外,其他地方的出行量均有所下降。此外,对疫情第一波期间交通流量和事故数量的比较表明,两国交通流量、重大和轻微事故的减少与限制措施相关,而非与新冠疫情发病率相关。此外,在工作日和周末,两国的交通流量与严格指数均呈现出具有统计学意义的负线性关系。这些结果表明,政策措施是管控出行限制和遏制疫情传播的关键,而非新冠疫情发病率。此外,当局应在疫情期间监测交通趋势,并在出行限制解除后尽快执行交通规则和法规。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4a62/8752045/c82cc36e071e/gr1_lrg.jpg

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