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新冠疫情封锁后政治态度随时间的变化:团结效应以及左右翼选民之间的差异

Political attitude change over time following COVID-19 lockdown: Rallying effects and differences between left and right voters.

作者信息

Satherley Nicole, Zubielevitch Elena, Greaves Lara M, Barlow Fiona Kate, Osborne Danny, Sibley Chris G

机构信息

School of Psychology, The University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

UQ Business School, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2022 Dec 15;13:1041957. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2022.1041957. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Restrictions to curb the spread of COVID-19 have required widespread compliance over long periods, but citizens' attitudes to these often change over time. Here, we examine the time course of political attitudes in New Zealand over the months before and after the announcement of the country's first nationwide COVID-19 lockdown in 2020 using a large-scale national survey ( = 41,831-42,663). Government satisfaction increased immediately following the lockdown announcement and remained elevated 5 months later. Trust in institutions and political efficacy also increased gradually over the same period. However, these trends varied by political party vote: Compared to center-left voters who supported the largest governing party, center-right voters who supported the opposition party returned to baseline levels of government satisfaction quicker and showed more pronounced dips in their satisfaction with the economy. These same attitudes also predicted compliance with COVID-19 guidelines. Results illustrate a rally-around-the-flag effect during the pandemic and suggest that support wanes faster among center-right (opposition party) voters.

摘要

为遏制新冠病毒传播而实施的限制措施要求民众长期广泛遵守,但公民对这些措施的态度往往会随时间而改变。在此,我们利用一项大规模全国性调查(样本量 = 41,831 - 42,663),研究了新西兰在2020年首次宣布全国范围新冠疫情封锁措施前后数月内政治态度的时间变化过程。封锁措施宣布后,民众对政府的满意度立即上升,并在5个月后仍维持在较高水平。同期,民众对机构的信任和政治效能也逐渐提高。然而,这些趋势因政党投票情况而异:与支持最大执政党(中左翼)的选民相比,支持反对党的中右翼选民对政府满意度更快回到基线水平,且对经济的满意度下降更为明显。这些态度同样也预示了对新冠疫情防控指南的遵守情况。研究结果表明了疫情期间的“团结在国旗周围”效应,并显示中右翼(反对党)选民的支持消退得更快。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6f10/9798091/2185739d5f16/fpsyg-13-1041957-g001.jpg

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