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养老院暴露于飓风引发的洪水与应急准备的关联。

Association of Nursing Home Exposure to Hurricane-Related Inundation With Emergency Preparedness.

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut.

National Clinician Scholars Program at Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut.

出版信息

JAMA Netw Open. 2023 Jan 3;6(1):e2249937. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.49937.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

Whether US nursing homes are well prepared for exposure to hurricane-related inundation is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the prevalence of nursing homes exposed to hurricane-related inundation and evaluate whether exposed facilities are more likely to meet Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) emergency preparedness standards.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cross-sectional study included CMS-certified nursing homes in Coastal Atlantic and Gulf Coast states from January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2019. The prevalence of facilities exposed to at least 2 feet of hurricane-related inundation used models from the National Hurricane Center across coastal areas overseen by 5 CMS regional offices: New England, New York metropolitan area, Mid-Atlantic region, Southeast and Eastern Gulf Coast, and Western Gulf Coast. Critical emergency preparedness deficiencies cited during CMS life safety code inspections were identified.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The analysis used generalized estimating equations with binomial and negative binomial distributions to evaluate associations between exposure status and the presence and number of critical emergency preparedness deficiencies. Regionally stratified associations (odds ratios [ORs]) and rate ratios [RRs]) with 95% CIs, adjusted for state-level fixed effects and nursing home characteristics, were reported.

RESULTS

Of 5914 nursing homes, 617 (10.4%) were at risk of inundation exposure, and 1763 (29.8%) had a critical emergency preparedness deficiency. Exposed facilities were less likely to be rural, were larger, and had similar CMS health inspection, quality, and staffing ratings compared with unexposed facilities. Exposure was positively associated with the presence and number of emergency preparedness deficiencies for the nursing homes within the Mid-Atlantic region (adjusted OR, 1.91 [95% CI, 1.15-3.20]; adjusted RR, 2.51 [95% CI, 1.41-4.47]). Conversely, exposure was negatively associated with the number of emergency preparedness deficiencies among facilities within the Western Gulf Coast (aRR, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.36-0.86]). The associations for the number of emergency preparedness deficiencies remained after correction for multiple comparisons.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this cross-sectional study suggest that the association between exposure to hurricane-related inundation and nursing home emergency preparedness differs considerably across the Coastal Atlantic and Gulf regulatory regions. These findings further suggest that there may be opportunities to reduce regional heterogeneity and improve the alignment of nursing home emergency preparedness with surrounding environmental risks.

摘要

重要性

目前尚不确定美国养老院是否为应对与飓风相关的泛滥做好了充分准备。

目的

评估养老院接触与飓风相关的泛滥情况的普遍性,并评估接触设施是否更有可能符合医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心(CMS)的应急准备标准。

设计、地点和参与者:本横断面研究包括 2017 年 1 月 1 日至 2019 年 12 月 31 日期间,沿海大西洋和墨西哥湾沿岸各州经 CMS 认证的养老院。利用国家飓风中心的模型,对新英格兰、纽约都会区、中大西洋地区、东南部和东墨西哥湾以及西墨西哥湾这五个 CMS 区域办公室监管下的沿海地区至少有 2 英尺高的与飓风相关的泛滥地区的设施进行了泛滥情况的流行率评估。确定了在 CMS 生命安全法规检查期间指出的关键应急准备缺陷。

主要结果和措施

分析使用了二项和负二项分布的广义估计方程,以评估暴露状况与关键应急准备缺陷的存在和数量之间的关联。报告了与区域分层关联(优势比[ORs])和比率比[RRs])以及 95%CI,这些关联经过了州级固定效应和养老院特征的调整。

结果

在 5914 家养老院中,有 617 家(10.4%)有被泛滥淹没的风险,有 1763 家(29.8%)存在关键的应急准备缺陷。与未暴露设施相比,暴露设施更不可能位于农村地区,规模更大,并且 CMS 健康检查、质量和人员配备评分相似。暴露与中大西洋地区养老院应急准备缺陷的存在和数量呈正相关(调整后的 OR,1.91 [95%CI,1.15-3.20];调整后的 RR,2.51 [95%CI,1.41-4.47])。相反,暴露与西墨西哥湾沿岸设施应急准备缺陷的数量呈负相关(aRR,0.55 [95%CI,0.36-0.86])。在对多次比较进行校正后,与应急准备缺陷数量的关联仍然存在。

结论和相关性

本横断面研究的结果表明,与飓风相关的泛滥暴露与养老院应急准备之间的关联在沿海大西洋和墨西哥湾监管地区之间存在显著差异。这些发现进一步表明,可能有机会减少区域异质性并提高养老院应急准备与周围环境风险的一致性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4001/9856665/c45d9a063a7f/jamanetwopen-e2249937-g001.jpg

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