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飓风“艾玛”过后,佛罗里达州养老院居民停电与死亡率和住院率的关联。

Association of Power Outage With Mortality and Hospitalizations Among Florida Nursing Home Residents After Hurricane Irma.

机构信息

School of Public Health, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island.

Department of Industrial and Management Systems Engineering, University of South Florida, Tampa.

出版信息

JAMA Health Forum. 2021 Nov 24;2(11):e213900. doi: 10.1001/jamahealthforum.2021.3900. eCollection 2021 Nov.

Abstract

IMPORTANCE

Exposure to hurricanes is associated with increased mortality and morbidity in nursing home (NH) residents, but the factors contributing to these outcomes are less understood. One hypothesized pathway could be power outages from hurricanes that expose NH residents to excess ambient heat.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the association of power loss from Hurricane Irma with hospitalization and mortality in NH residents in Florida.

DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study of NH residents residing in Florida when Hurricane Irma landed on September 10, 2017, assessed mortality at 7 and 30 days after the storm and hospitalization at 30 days after the storm. The analysis was conducted from May 2, 2021, to June 28, 2021. All NH residents residing in Florida at landfall were eligible (N = 67 273). We excluded those younger than 65 years, missing power status information, or who were evacuated (13 178 [19.6%]).

EXPOSURE

We used state-administered surveys to determine NH power outage status. Exposed residents experienced a power outage poststorm, whereas unexposed residents did not experience a power outage poststorm.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

We used Medicare claims to assess mortality and hospitalization after Hurricane Irma landfall using generalized linear models with robust standard errors.

RESULTS

In the aftermath of Hurricane Irma, 27 892 residents (18 510 women [66.4%]; 3906 [14.0%] Black, 1651 [5.9%] Hispanic, and 21 756 [78.0%] White individuals) in 299 NHs were exposed to power loss and 26 203 residents (17 620 women [67.2%]; 4175 [15.9%] Black, 1030 [3.9%] Hispanic, and 20 477 [78.1%] White individuals) in 292 NHs were unexposed. Nursing homes that lost power were similar in size, quality star rating, and type of ownership compared with NHs that did not lose power. Power loss was associated with an increased adjusted odds of mortality among all residents within 7 days (odds ratio [OR],1.25; 95% CI,1.05-1.48) and 30 days (OR, 1.12; 95% CI,1.02-1.23) poststorm and hospitalization within 30 days, although only among residents aged 65 to 74 years (OR, 1.16; 95% CI, 1.03-1.33).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, power loss was associated with higher odds of mortality in all affected NH residents and hospitalization in some residents. The benefits and costs of policies that require NHs to have emergency alternate power sources should be assessed.

摘要

重要性

暴露于飓风会增加护理院(NH)居民的死亡率和发病率,但导致这些结果的因素了解较少。一种假设的途径可能是飓风导致的停电,使 NH 居民暴露于过多的环境热中。

目的

确定佛罗里达州 NH 居民因 Hurricane Irma 停电与住院和死亡之间的关联。

设计、地点和参与者:这项回顾性队列研究针对的是 2017 年 9 月 10 日 Hurricane Irma 登陆时居住在佛罗里达州的 NH 居民,评估了风暴后 7 天和 30 天的死亡率以及风暴后 30 天的住院率。分析于 2021 年 5 月 2 日至 2021 年 6 月 28 日进行。所有在登陆时居住在佛罗里达州的 NH 居民均符合条件(N=67273)。我们排除了年龄小于 65 岁、缺失停电状态信息或已撤离的居民(13178[19.6%])。

暴露

我们使用州政府管理的调查来确定 NH 的停电状态。暴露的居民在风暴后经历了停电,而未暴露的居民则没有经历停电。

主要结果和测量

我们使用医疗保险索赔数据,使用广义线性模型(稳健标准误差)评估 Hurricane Irma 登陆后居民的死亡率和住院率。

结果

在 Hurricane Irma 之后,有 27892 名居民(18510 名女性[66.4%];3906 名黑人[14.0%]、1651 名西班牙裔[5.9%]和 21756 名白人[78.0%])在 299 家 NH 中经历了停电,而有 26203 名居民(17620 名女性[67.2%];4175 名黑人[15.9%]、1030 名西班牙裔[3.9%]和 20477 名白人[78.1%])在 292 家 NH 中未经历停电。与未停电的 NH 相比,失去电力的 NH 规模、质量星级评分和所有权类型相似。在所有居民中,停电与 7 天内(优势比[OR],1.25;95%置信区间[CI],1.05-1.48)和 30 天内(OR,1.12;95%CI,1.02-1.23)的死亡率以及 30 天内的住院率呈正相关,尽管仅在 65 至 74 岁的居民中呈正相关(OR,1.16;95%CI,1.03-1.33)。

结论和相关性

在这项队列研究中,停电与所有受影响的 NH 居民的死亡率和部分居民的住院率较高有关。应评估要求 NH 配备紧急备用电源的政策的利弊。

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