Joukowsky Institute for Archaeology & the Ancient World, Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, United States of America.
Classical Archaeology, Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark.
PLoS One. 2023 Jan 11;18(1):e0279382. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279382. eCollection 2023.
We present novel insights into trade in amphorae-borne products over a 550-year period in Germania along the frontier of the Roman Empire, derived through probabilistic aoristic methods to study temporal changes in archaeological materials. Our data analysis reveals highly detailed differential patterns of consumption and production within the German market. We show how connections to far-flung regions such as the Eastern Mediterranean or the Iberian Peninsula wax and wane through time, and how the local German producers start to compete with these imported products. These chronological patterns provide important insight into a regional market within the larger Roman economy and provide an important case study in changing economic connections over a long period, demonstrating in a transparent and reproducible way a geographical and chronological pulsation in market activity that was otherwise unknown and undemonstrated.
我们通过概率性的不定过去时方法，呈现了关于罗马帝国边疆日耳曼地区长达 550 年的双耳喷口瓶贸易产品的新见解，以此来研究考古材料中随时间推移的变化。我们的数据分析揭示了德国市场内部消费和生产的高度详细的差异模式。我们展示了与遥远地区（如东地中海或伊比利亚半岛）的联系如何随时间而兴衰，以及当地德国生产商如何开始与这些进口产品竞争。这些时间模式为更大的罗马经济中的区域市场提供了重要的见解，并提供了一个关于长期经济联系变化的重要案例研究，以透明且可重复的方式展示了市场活动的地理和时间上的波动，否则这些波动是未知和未被证明的。
