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预后营养指数:一种预测失代偿期肝硬化预后的潜在生物标志物。

Prognostic nutritional index: A potential biomarker for predicting the prognosis of decompensated liver cirrhosis.

作者信息

Xie Yanan, He Chiyi, Wang Wei

机构信息

Department of Gastroenterology, Yijishan Hospital of Wannan Medical College, Wuhu, Anhui, China.

出版信息

Front Nutr. 2023 Jan 6;9:1092059. doi: 10.3389/fnut.2022.1092059. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is an independent predictor of the prognosis of various diseases. However, the prognosis value of PNI in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC) remains unknown. The study aimed to investigate the prognostic significance of PNI in patients with DLC.

METHODS

A total of 214 eligible patients were enrolled in the study's development cohort between January 2018 and March 2021. The clinical primary study endpoints were mortality at 3 and 6 months. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the PNI's prediction accuracy, and Youden's index was utilized to determine the PNI's optimal cut-off value. Moreover, based on the optimal cut-off value, patients were categorized into high and low PNI groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine independent risk factors for mortality, while the relationship between PNI and the risk of death was identified and demonstrated using restricted cubic splines (RCS). A validation cohort of 139 patients was to verify the predictive power of the PNI.

RESULTS

In the development cohort, the mortality rate at 3 and 6 months were 10.3% (22) and 14.0% (30), respectively. The PNI had comparable predictive power with the MELD score at all follow-up endpoints. Decreased PNI was an independent predictor of adverse prognosis at all follow-up endpoints. The RCS revealed a linear correlation between PNI and the risk of death. We confirmed that lower PNI was an independent predictor of poor prognosis in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

The findings showed that lower PNI is an independent factor of poor outcomes and might be utilized as a potentially promising prognostic predictor in patients with DLC.

摘要

背景

预后营养指数(PNI)是多种疾病预后的独立预测指标。然而,PNI在失代偿期肝硬化(DLC)患者中的预后价值尚不清楚。本研究旨在探讨PNI在DLC患者中的预后意义。

方法

2018年1月至2021年3月期间,共有214例符合条件的患者纳入研究的开发队列。临床主要研究终点为3个月和6个月时的死亡率。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析评估PNI的预测准确性,并用约登指数确定PNI的最佳截断值。此外,根据最佳截断值,将患者分为PNI高分组和低分组。采用多因素logistic回归分析确定死亡的独立危险因素,同时使用限制性立方样条(RCS)确定并证明PNI与死亡风险之间的关系。139例患者的验证队列用于验证PNI的预测能力。

结果

在开发队列中,3个月和6个月时的死亡率分别为10.3%(22例)和14.0%(30例)。在所有随访终点,PNI与终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分具有相当的预测能力。PNI降低是所有随访终点不良预后的独立预测因素。RCS显示PNI与死亡风险之间存在线性相关性。我们证实在验证队列中,较低的PNI是预后不良的独立预测因素。

结论

研究结果表明,较低的PNI是预后不良的独立因素,可能作为DLC患者潜在的有前景的预后预测指标。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/002c/9852856/2a53e404dd7d/fnut-09-1092059-g001.jpg

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